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You have added all sorts of conditions in order to prevent the possibility that I will demonstrate that the experiment has already been done in the past -- and of course it has, otherwise I wouldn't have proposed it as an experiment (See Weinberg, J. R., V. R. Starczak and P. Jora. 1992...

OK, assuming your definition then, I propose the following experiment: 1. take a taxonomic group that can interbreed, and divide it into subgroups; 2. isolate those subgroups and allow the subgroups to breed among each other in isolation; 3. after a large number of generations, bring...

You state that there is a clear difference between the two forms of evolution, however you have yet to define the term "species." What is a "species?"

In my view, there is no difference between the two concepts, therefore proof of one, necessarily proves the other. So, I ask again, what is the difference between intra- and inter-species evolution?

What's the difference between intra- and inter-species evolution? Unless you can distinguish between the two with some scientifically verifiable test, then there is no difference, and proof of one kind of evolution therefore proves the other.

OMG! Pass me the Kool Aid(r)!

jim_c's observations are important proof of why the market is non random, as well as proof of why most technical analysis doesn't work. The market is not about price or volume -- it's about price times volume.

This is an excellent analogy in my opinion. The problem for many people is that they appear to believe that they can can see what's on the road ahead, beyond the bend, into next morning, next week, next month, etc., merely because they extrapolate this from a plot of the map of the road upon...

The question is: are you merely correlating the coefficent of the price and volume movement that you've just observed in the past, or are you predicting a short-term future move? I believe it's the former. If I am watching the tape and a Level II screen and I see volume and price moving in a...

This is no theory, and I'm not paranoid. I stay well clear of stocks such as INTC for the very reason that they are so heavily manipulated intraday. Better to trade a stock where I'm the big cheese with 4,000 shares, than where I'm just a fly waiting to be swatted.

Thumper: He doesn't walk very good, does he? Mrs. Rabbit: Thumper! Thumper: Yes, mama? Mrs. Rabbit: What did your father tell you this morning? Thumper: [clears throat] If you can't say something nice... don't say nothing at all. -- Bambi, Walt Disney Productions (1942)

I have a little empirical experiment that anyone can try, and I have performed the test myself, many times. The test clearly demonstrates the nonrandom nature of the market. In order to conduct this experiment, you need a reasonably healthy margin account, and a broker who gives you...

There's a difference between "random" and "unpredictable." A truly random event cannot be predicted, even if the observer is able to accurately measure every causal action operating upon the potential future effect. A merely chaotic event is potentially predictable, because it is the product...

Please PM me.

That's easy. Just ask the marketmaker/specialist. LOL!

Although I do not find that the markets are random, I cannot agree with your proffered proof. The autocorrelation formula that you provide is just another name for what is commonly known in mathematics as the linear coefficient correlation function. The mathematical "proof" of this function...

You must be related to Joe Dimaggio. When was the last time you had a losing day?

I think that uninvited_guest has just answered your question as to why there is a controversy.

I believe that what you may be missing is that the "market" is not an random undirected actor, like a hurricane, tornado, dice throw, roulette wheel spin, etc. Rather, the "market" is the consensus opinion of its participants, of the fair value of a particular security. So, while I would...

I posted my suggestion of the "game" as a means of demonstrating how unprepared most people are to trade the markets. People paper trade, thinking that this gives them experience. Paper trading doesn't work, because the market doesn't respond to their moves, so there's no feedback to tell the...