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SPONTANEOUS SYNCHRONIZATION The New Yorker © 1947 The Law By ROBERT M. COATES THE first intimation that things were getting out of hand came one early fall evening in the late nineteen-forties. What happened, simply, was that between seven and nine o’clock on that evening the...

Excellent stuff! Cheers, MAESTRO

Excellent post! Thank you for chiming in! Cheers, MAESTRO

Question: How many of you, guys really and truly understand the Bayes’ Theorem? How many can say that they easily could implement it in any situation? I have a strong suggestion: please read this article. http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes There is much more to it that meets the eye...

Good book, however, Dr. Mandelbrot was a bit naive about markets.

RIGHT ON!!!!! I am so glad you dug it out! Now the next step is to translate it to market data! You will see what 99.99% of others would not suspect exists!

There are at least three distinct forms of uncertainty: 1. Ignorance. The limits of our knowledge lead us to be uncertain about many things. Does our poker opponent have a flush or is she bluffing? 2. Physical randomness or indeterminism. Even if we know everything that we might care to...

I am sure you are all familiar with Leonard_Mlodinow. I find this video clip useful. In his books he addressed many aspects of discussions we are having here. http://fora.tv/2009/06/01/The_Drunkards_Walk_Leonard_Mlodinow And another video...

If I was too harsh then please accept my apologies. It's just too many times I have witnessed remarks here that do not add any value to the topic in focus. I am always opened to other people's opinion if it is related to the subject discussed. All I want is to keep this thread relatively clean...

Hi there. Being relatively new here, are you sure you are in a right thread? There are plenty of "down-to-earth" guys on this forum who would be probably glad to hear your ramblings and your benign use of terms that you heard in your elementary school. What we are trying to do here is to have an...

I can attest that Bayesian techniques have definite applications in this field. Our company has designed a few products that incorporate Bayesian methods. I am actually a big proponent of this approach. It is very instrumental in making decisions in the high level of uncertainty. Below is a...

Getting very close!!! Keep on digging. Your trench is in the right direction! Cheers, MAESTRO

http://www.quantfinancejobs.com/

That is precisely correct! Front running your funds by selling signals is a criminal activity.

You can always sell your technique of how to throw the ball to Michael Jordan's wannabees! :D All you have to do is to present a "paper record" of your successful throws, create a website and charge people for watching you throwing pretend balls on youtube!

Yeah, I know. Some people are funny this way. I could never answer this question to myself either. There is always a catch if someone tries to sell signals or a system. It always smells fishy to me.

I agree, however, I know for a fact that Titan guys have purchased a few signal generating models from various developers in the past. Who knows ... Also, starting a small web service is not that difficult. It is easy to establish a track record by showing signals for free over some period...

These guys might be interested; selling signals to hedge funds is their core business. http://www.titantrading.com/index.html

It was GBP today :cool:

A very good example. Also, once you realized how to present market data properly it is very easy to see those sync behaviors and spot flocks. Look at the image attached. Cheers, MAESTRO