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  1. Z

    Actual data supporting no use of stop losses

    Argh..I probably touched it too lightly, here is something in it where I can’t wrap my head around it, at least intuitively :) I understand that you are “multiplying” your data but keep the underlying statistics and distributional characteristics intact, but in my (imperfect) view it stays...
  2. Z

    Actual data supporting no use of stop losses

    May I ask what value you find in synthetic data? I touched the subject lightly in work, ea creating synthetic data with LLM’s, but I always wondered what the exact difference is between this and simplistic extrapolation.
  3. Z

    Actual data supporting no use of stop losses

    I think - in theory - a SL can provide value if the distribution of future expected trades changes in such a way that better - again future - statistics can be get from your trades, to make some leverage viable. Perhaps you can gain value from entering at your stop and exiting using a new...
  4. Z

    Swing Trading QQQ

    These cease-fire talkings seem to be non-productive so far. IF this is an important driver (dest), this could bode for the bear case next week.
  5. Z

    Bitcoin’s Potential Reversal

    It looks like you have followed their Advanced Pro course
  6. Z

    Trading discipline isn't about fortitude. It's about conviction.

    *** Deposit activity update
  7. Z

    The EV transition is real

    I could quote a philosopher, but I will go with German house: it’s nice to be important, but it’s more important to be nice
  8. Z

    All traders are trend traders :)

    I remember I once had a time where it ‘felt’ I was always wrong in direction. Like magic it always turned immediately against me. Like a conspiracy. Ofcourse you know it can’t be reality, but I was always curious how this could be. The best possible explanation I found was that it was just the...
  9. Z

    What's the maximum amount of leverage a trader should use?

    Go max, your psych (depending on your age) wants it: (Everything else is sooo boring)
  10. Z

    The gutfeel swing trade

    Fwiw, flattened position yesterday, sidelines until a lower entry point comes by, or miss this trade. Didn’t like the weak behavior relative to the indices (yeah, brainfart stuff:rolleyes:).
  11. Z

    Audio Sounds for S&P 500 Ticks

    Please keep in mind your neighbors, the sound can sometimes be worse then a padel-court!
  12. Z

    The market is SO WRONG at this point

    Waiting for the Ved
  13. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    What seems to be gone though, are these extreme surges up. Change in ‘trading environment’ ?(warning small sample size)
  14. Z

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Don’t get me wrong I like your postings on occurrences, but I wouldn’t derive anything significantly meaningful from such small sample sizes and deviations
  15. Z

    Anyone else self-sabotage?

    I especially sabotage myself in the bar
  16. Z

    The gutfeel swing trade

    Update: Directional brainfarts: looks like it can start moving in the anticipated direction. However, a few posters who I respect for their opinion are teasing me with their bearisch macro views. For now I'm staying in this long delta position, but keep an eye to possible change this position in...
  17. Z

    The gutfeel swing trade

    Thanks, would have to look in this
  18. Z

    The EV transition is real

    Coincidentally I also own a Kia ev6. In my rough estimate around 1/3 in the neighborhood drives electric. We do most of charging (90% estimate) with the solar panels on the house. The last time I visited an original gas station was almost a year ago One of my first job interviews ever was with...
  19. Z

    GBA Presents: House of Gummy-!

    Great call that was! Got out after an hour and swapped to calls PANW (gap fill) and WM. Should have listened and gotten into SNAP, what a move. Congrats!:thumbsup:
  20. Z

    GBA Presents: House of Gummy-!

    Around 85 now indeed. If I can ask, what do you do with these options when they go itm after a drop/rise? Take immediate profit, or let it ride for more continuation? It will of course depend on the specific report and company I asume, but just curious what your common actions are
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