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I have a real business, dumbass. Not staring at a computer screen.

And this all sounds like technicals. Correct?

You're not answering the question. You're diverting the conversation to nonsense.

How can you make them greater than 50%?

I was here several weeks ago, and I decided that there is no way that I currently know to reliably make a profit with trading. I have deleted all of my apps. I was just thinking about it today when I was looking at how recent news is what is moving markets. Not moving averages or RSI Etc. If I...

Unfortunately, I don't have time to watch charts at all.

If my take-profits are 2x what my stop-loss is... Then it is 2x as likely to hit the stop-loss first. Thus, it breaks even. That's how I see it.

Let's say I pick the S&P e-mini. Whether I choose to go short or long, I'm making a prediction. Do you disagree with that? And why?

But I don't even know how to make a bet that I could honestly tell myself is >50% odds anyway. Why not just play roulette?

I don't trade at all because I can't predict it. In fact, I have no reason to believe that my "guesses" are any better odds than 50%. Media, news, earnings releases are all "after the fact," anyway. I would just be following the herd.

What's the #1 thing moving markets lately? Coronavirus. Is there any way to have predicted that? Of course not. And before that, it was Iran.

Here's what moved markets most today: China is no longer considered a currency manipulator by the USA. S&P up 0.7%. Thoughts: impossible to predict, that news event moved markets more than any technical indicators. Perhaps technicals can work in short-term, but they don't move things as much...

So you're batting 50%. And how do you it wasn't by chance that you were right on that one?

Does that work for everything? I'll test it when I have the chance. Stocks, funds, currencies, futures?

I'm waiting for anyone to tell me a combination of indicators to back test that works even 60% of the time.

Sounds like trying to read tea leaves and pretending it's real. Is that a fish and a scorpion in the sky at night? Lol.

You don't affect the price of things. People with lots of money do.

$100 billion

Whose opinions have the most impact on the price of things?

And if I had guessed right, I'd be on here looking like a genius even if it was luck. If I would have bought the 3x S&P (SPXL), I'd be up 35.5% since 9/4/19.