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  1. M

    Fascinating Finding in Sentiment Polls: Bull Market Is Here To Stay

    http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/several-sentiment-indexes-showing-too/story.aspx?guid={A823BBAA-6529-4E82-8AF8-A966ADA9C307}&dist=TNMostRead
  2. M

    Fed to launch program bolstering commercial real estate loans in June

    I just called a guy I respect in CRE who is at the top of his game in Chicago and he told me the $100B is a joke. Most of the CRE out there is still on REITs books at anywhere between 20-40% over market value (look what the Hanncock building in Boston sold for last year compared to its previous...
  3. M

    Overconfidence

    Its funny because if trading your plan begets success (and a string of successful trades is usually the cause of overconfidence) then logically you should adhere to your plan more fervently than ever, instead overconfidence will often cause one to deviate from the trading plan and over rule it...
  4. M

    Fed to launch program bolstering commercial real estate loans in June

    The action in the REITs this week REEKs of this having been leaked to the select few as much as a week ago. Bush and his cronies may have been crooks but Obama and his cronies are no change at all. Change you can believe in, what a freakin' joke.
  5. M

    Long Short Neutral?

    Seriously, only one responder to this question?
  6. M

    Long Short Neutral?

    All possibly true but in terms of making some coin trading this thing don't you have any levels or signs that would make you change your position? I agree this is a bear market rally but didn't start to get short until a few days ago and will get stopped out if we close over 895 and 271 on the...
  7. M

    Long Short Neutral?

    OK so what would it take for you to feel that you were wrong and reverse your position?
  8. M

    Long Short Neutral?

    What are you looking for to exit if you are long? If Neutral what are you looking for to get long or short? If Short what are you looking for to exit or go long?
  9. M

    U.S. Stress Test Results Might be Delayed as Early Conclusions Debated

    In a world of lunatics the sane man is the fool. Astute observation ipatent.
  10. M

    U.S. Stress Test Results Might be Delayed as Early Conclusions Debated

    Its a freakin' meadow out there! :D
  11. M

    Chrysler Bankruptcy

    The idiot voters who have been fooled in to thinking that they won't have to pay for the solution because the rich will end up doing that for them. Boy are they in for a surprise.
  12. M

    Is the worst of the recession Over?

    Major U.S. Retailers Face Net Store Loss After Closing More Stores Than They Opened in 2008 http://www.costar.com/News/Article.aspx?id=3E4BE95B7E0C86C472575C145DCC44B0 If things don't turn by next week looks like I will be stopped out of my shorts (SRS calls, SPG puts, ES puts) which are...
  13. M

    Chrysler Bankruptcy

    Who wrote the CDS if any on Chrysler debt? AIG again? :D http://www.thedeal.com/dealscape/2009/04/debt_revamps_hindered_by_credi.php http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124109550079373043.html
  14. M

    Is the worst of the recession Over?

    Took $1.2 out of SRS and rolled it into June calls.
  15. M

    U.S. Gross Domestic Product Shrinks 6.1% in Q1

    http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/04/29/55295/us-q1-gdp-falls-more-than-expected-61-pct/
  16. M

    Is the worst of the recession Over?

    Following the Sox has working very well and it isn't confirming any breakout here.
  17. M

    Is the worst of the recession Over?

    Will be looking to enter SRS long after the FOMC today.
  18. M

    Fed Meeting Today?

    Highly unlikely unless they move to guarantee CRE debt. (which is probably if it becomes a problem). Commercial mortgages at risk of default five times higher in a year By Saskia Scholtes in New York Published: April 29 2009 03:00 | Last updated: April 29 2009 03:00 The volume of...
  19. M

    Stress Test Leak: Fed Is Said to Seek Capital for at Least Six Banks After Tests

    These guys are clearly still in panic mode with all these stupid games.
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