Commodities especially oil and gas on an inflation adjusted basis are still really cheap. You can't expect to expand the money supply at 10 percent a year and not have an increase in prices for basic goods. The number one reason why stocks are still up is the allure of private equity. How...
Its all BS. And the rest of the world doesn't want to let the currencies appreciate so endless credit is created through recycling. The only problem is consumer spending is slowing even though there is tons of credit still available which is just leading to more cpi inflation.
The refusal of policy makers to take any kind of firm action in regards to interest rates has led to a global credit mania. Only God knows what will end it. There is no doubt that market participants are getting more and more confident that nothing can derail this thing.
I think its getting nearly impossible for the larger funds to think out of the box. There really aren't that many uncorrellated assets or arbitrage opportunties when you are running 29 billion dollars. Today is a great example, the global markets just go back to doing the same trades. lower...
The CDS market is a total travesty and at odds with anything the US should want in long run. A 20 trillion dollar market that is run by a small number of firms with very little oversight and almost no transprancey is awful.
The yen was sold heavily overnight and it has a direct correlation to the sp 500. The home sales data doesnt mean anything. I'm giving the HF an F for creativity. We just go back and put the same trades back on.
The spring summer is a horrible time to be long markets. Wall Street is interested in year end bonuses and its a long year. There isn't a lot of incentive to keep the market going until the fall.
The nasdaq has lost so much volume its astounding. The funny part is its been actually been providing some support as the financials have gotten killed. If the nas doesnt get going its going to drop like a rock.