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  1. i960

    Australian housing bubble thread

    Incredible the level of involvement/concern the RBA has in this. Both a moral hazard to rate normalization and overt nannyism. To put it another way, RBA officials must have a lot of investment property they're worried about.
  2. i960

    yield curve / time 3d graph

    Can do it in R as well, probably even Excel. It's just a 3 axis chart (time).
  3. i960

    Mayer 23 million......for what

    Sure, we can try blaming them - but what's the point when they're all in on this gravy train? Self-created problem because it benefits them.
  4. i960

    Serious: Last year I turned my account from 25k to 150k. Now my account is down to 90k.

    Not necessarily true. This is only if you have a net loss. If you make +50k next year for example that will be offset against the existing carried over loss. Still a shitty feeling in general of course.
  5. i960

    Ukrainian Firm Made $21 Million Layering, Then Got Busted

    And there's your answer as to why Lek would facilitate this. $$$ talks as usual.
  6. i960

    islam no go areas popping up all over Europe

    And amusingly represented by a significant country that conspicuously isn't even on the ban list. That's something people can have a legitimate beef with but do they? Nope - too busy marching the warpath down dead end trails.
  7. i960

    islam no go areas popping up all over Europe

    Gotta love how a religion of nearly 2 *billion* people from literally all over the world is being maligned into the same lump set of people by ignorant kooks here. There's 200+ million muslims in Indonesia - do you think those muslims are the same culturally as those from Syria, Yemen, or...
  8. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    Anyone trading NY cocoa? Similar situation to rice, potential trend reversal but needs to clear that 2200 area: Various spreads moving:
  9. i960

    Ag trade ideas

    Update on rice: Still needs to clear out of this area but how many shorts do you think there are who've been waiting for a break and will cut loose quickly if they don't get it? 1000 is probably a key level. Nothing significant in ZR K7:ZRN7 yet either, but it's mostly correlated to the front.
  10. i960

    IB Quits options game!

    Unless TH coincidentally decides to stand on every level of the book for a given contract this simply isn't happening in reality. There is no internalization in futures. All the major entities are market making all the significant futures exchanges. US vs Asia has nothing to do with it.
  11. i960

    Rate hike effects?

    At this point the market will probably react more if there *isn't* a rate hike.
  12. i960

    The S&P has topped

    REITs starting to get shit on. I watch VNQ as a general REIT ETF, but there's a few other tickers of note that are of course getting hammered on: ESS (part of SPX), AVB (part of SPX), etc and it's not like the nosebleed level real estate markets are going to last forever (c'mon we've seen this...
  13. i960

    How do you approach trading spreads like this?

    Here's an example of what I mean by these non-implied energy flies using CL M7/Z7/M8 as an example and why they present difficulties with native stops and limit orders: IB quotes: CTS quotes (sim, but still live data): I took these screen captures within seconds of each other so aside from...
  14. i960

    IB Quits options game!

    Pretty "easy" for regulators to mandate direct exchange submission with no middlemen but said regulators are already owned.
  15. i960

    Guy makes $160,000 and barely making it month to month...

    Still though that's a ton of annual money just to pay for the convenience. Why not just park the car at the weekend house and take alternate transportation to it when needed?
  16. i960

    Carbon Emission Futures?

    Yes and we're not trading it on CME. Carbon futures are traded as ECF on ICE Europe.
  17. i960

    Guy makes $160,000 and barely making it month to month...

    The thing I was referring to as false was simply the cost of housing in the peninsula vs SF itself. Not the Bayarea vs the rest of the country. It's well known that the general CoL and real estate out here is over the top.
  18. i960

    Guy makes $160,000 and barely making it month to month...

    Deductible != free money.
  19. i960

    Australian housing bubble thread

    Unless AUS is seeing wage growth matching those crazy housing growth numbers it's simply unsustainable. C'mon folks it's clear as day the global economic situation were in. It's not a matter of if, its a matter of when. Just sit tight.
  20. i960

    Guy makes $160,000 and barely making it month to month...

    This is false. There are many spots along the peninsula in San Mateo county that are *not* more expensive than the city proper. You cannot take Palo Alto, Menlo Park, etc and represent them as the peninsula because they are outliers. My wife and I live just outside of SF and through frugal...
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