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  1. K

    The ACD Method

    try explaining to this guy you lost the 50K he staked plus another 150 cause you know shit happens!!
  2. K

    The ACD Method

    this guy, gotta love the Chi..
  3. K

    The ACD Method

    guy on Cnbc comparing this to 87 lol!!
  4. K

    The ACD Method

    omg aapl wow!
  5. K

    The ACD Method

    last October low was around 1815 quite a ways below, pick your spots.
  6. K

    The ACD Method

    there is a great paper from Bridgewater Dalio's firm about hedge funds and beta you have to go to their site to get it. Would post it but don't want to risk being sued by a firm that's got over 100 billion. Anything from them is worth checking out though. title is "Hedge fund returns dominated...
  7. K

    The ACD Method

    try to remind folks to reduce size/contracts when vol goes up, long bonds has been a good trade in the last few months. I think the bonds are tough sledding. There was a guy on one of the other threads here claiming he could could take full point out the bonds every day. I will let you do the...
  8. K

    The ACD Method

    thanks Mav, I am sure we could benefit from discussion of the curve in oil I feel pretty clueless about it. It doesn't look linear to me.
  9. K

    The ACD Method

    So probably the biggest takeway for me was that Fisher said he was shocked by the breakthru in technology. I am reading Shale' Boom and Bust by Dan Dicker. He was in the same camp, a long term bull on oil. In the book he talks about how a lot of the big players have left the physical space. He...
  10. K

    Examples of statistical edges in sports betting?

    sports arb caveat emptor here lots of empty promises on the software side best to do your own research http://www.sportsbettingworm.com/ dated but interesting article on Cantor Gaming http://www.wired.com/2010/11/ff_midas/
  11. K

    Examples of statistical edges in sports betting?

    there is some software out there that claims to help your arb bets looked into a while ago, the idea is you get two bets that add up to 95% you have 5% arb locked in. The problem is you need to have many accounts and it is a a grind, no doubt some clever people are grinding a living from it. I...
  12. K

    Examples of statistical edges in sports betting?

    http://espn.go.com/horse/columns/misc/1980579.html not sure if you saw this never heard of this before.
  13. K

    The ACD Method

    this is a good example of large disconnect on where this is headed hence the vol.
  14. K

    The ACD Method

    exhibit A, good luck trading this beast....:)
  15. K

    The ACD Method

    China and SDR special drawing rights, something to think about. IMF inclusion decision in October of this year. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/12/china-markets-yuan-imf-idUSL1N10N1SJ20150812 http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/05/china-rmb-sdr/
  16. K

    The ACD Method

    of course "Lo Pan" needs exports!!
  17. K

    The ACD Method

    look man just cause you are vacation don't shirk your responsibilities. Take a break from pounding shots and chasing birds (London term) and give us the lowdown on this China move.
  18. K

    The ACD Method

    good times! waiting patiently for your what this means post. Please check in when you get done with your beach tan!
  19. K

    The ACD Method

    great post thanks for the information. Makes sense on the calendar, assuming that the VSR Variable Storage Rates are alleged to help cash and futures converge. Have some questions on that but will wait a bit till I study up on that. Please add anything else you feel is relevant, I am sure many...
  20. K

    The ACD Method

    great thanks for sharing that, so can you explain why soybeans have higher vol. This is great information, there are others I am sure that find all of this very interesting even if they don't trade it. Also, do you do correlation analysis among grains, and/or do calendars within the single...
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