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  1. TheBigShort

    An In Depth Discussion About Margin

    This got me thinking. Maybe I am already paying the interest rate on the futures contract and I am no better off. USDCAD Future = Spot* (1+(R quote *(d/360))/(1+(R base *(d/360))
  2. TheBigShort

    An In Depth Discussion About Margin

    I just got off the phone with IB. If I do not do the conversion. I end up paying interrest on the USD borrowed to trade. If I am mostly trading us equities, it makes sense to do the conversion
  3. TheBigShort

    An In Depth Discussion About Margin

    Interresting! When I funded my account over a year ago they said I needed it! I have never changed it since. I have been rolling MCD (mini CAD futures) contracts every 3 months! I'll have to double check with them tommorrow
  4. TheBigShort

    An In Depth Discussion About Margin

    Hello everyone, I have a few questions about margin. I am a bit embarrassed to ask such basic questions but not knowing will cost me down the road. Since I have started trading I have never run out of margin/excess liquidity but I am looking to deploy a new strategy that will need full...
  5. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Awful. I closed the 41/51 vertical for $8.20 Loss of 4.05 on on the trade
  6. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Our friend changed his name! I guess he read this thread. I forgot to check his opinion today before entering the PLAY trade. This one cost me. I remember early on in my earnings journey reading a stat - the number of companies that announce on a given day is negatively correlated with...
  7. TheBigShort

    low option volumes

    Its not rigged. The market makers have a fair value price for the option say it's $5.00. She then sets her Bid at 4.50 and Ask at 5.50. This is because someone with more information might come along and buy/sell those options from the market maker. She needs to incorporate a margin of safety...
  8. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Interresting. I will go back and read what happened to CASY and post what I find. Unfortunately these moves come with the earnings game. It sucks when they are grouped together (MTN, CASY, PLAY). During earning season we can spread the risk more so these big moves dont impact our PnL as much.
  9. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Short the 41/51 51/61 PLAY Fly for $4.15 Cr. Edit* :vomit::vomit::vomit::vomit::vomit:
  10. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    PLAY is on June11. They just confirmed. Screener will update on next update cycle. Nice job on LZB. What was your reasoning for going long this? If the edge is there, you want to look risk right in the face. The problem with these earnings trades is it's hard to scale. Anyone of them could be...
  11. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Did this trade work out? It seems like the 55 straddle price was hovering around the $5 range all day. Looks like it's dow $1.50 from yesterday close
  12. TheBigShort

    Youtube Gods

    First off these guys are doing what they love and making millions doing it. You should be learning from them. They took your money didn't they? Secondly and I will probrably only say this once, trading is a very easy gig. You come up with a strategy that works and you milk it until it does not...
  13. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    I'll send you a pm about this.
  14. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    @oldmonk might be able to answer this one. He's pretty good with running back test regarding earnings events. Like you already mentioned. These massive spikes in the first 2 minutes are not that common. MTN wen't from 227 to 245 in 4 min! We got unlucky today. MTN is now sub $230. On another...
  15. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    This is the stuff @oldmonk has nightmares about! 5% spike on the first bar with no liquidity! Im out, talk to you guys later tonight.
  16. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    @Magic are you still holding? Its really coming in now! $235! I closed way to early $232. You got to be kidding me! smh
  17. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Out! Small loss
  18. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    I cant believe this thing moved $20 intraday.
  19. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    MTN is pushing hard! I am going to wait this one out. Still holding
  20. TheBigShort

    Earnings journal

    Right. If you look here on MTN, the red line is what the green line (implied vol) will fall to after earnings. At 9.45 see if atm implied vol is roughly 34% (red line for 10 days out). Using forward vol without additional filtering as the diffuse vol is not ideal for a few reasons. But the...
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