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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    that's about 30% of the 100% successful-trader equation. The other 70% is how large are the loss $$ to profit $$? anyone can make a net-losing strategy with +80% or even 90+% win rate... but still lose money overall the higher a win % rate any approach has, the less overall money overall...
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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    Example of a normal, run-of-mill trading session circa 2013-2014 using TF symbol for example... Short 1195.0 > stop 1196.0 at fill on a pullback to key resistance zone. Price drops to 1193, trail stop to 1195 entry. Stop is hit for par result on a snapback to 1197. Short 1195.0 > stop...
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    CL Redux

    I've never used an initial stop greater than .10 for CL ever, and when volatility was higher, got stopped out much less. When price is moving directionally, a .02 stop takes no heat because price blows straightline thru key S/R zones without pause and never looks back. But when price sets up...
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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    " The bars, indicators, patterns, systems, structure, and action are all driven by what the other party is doing. The other party is the cause and everything else is the effect. This is why some of the best "setups" you see still often fail to produce winning trades. We use tools and visuals to...
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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    As for "raking in cash"? The VIX is in low teens and has been pinned there for a long time now. Nobody is raking in huge cash, anywhere. Go ask the guys here with skills to book multi-million $$ annual profits like many of them did before. Are they "raking in cash" today relative to then? No...
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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    I did not pass any combines with ZS/CL or CL attempts. Probably for the same reasons nobody inside the now-dead CL Thread here ever did, either. As for markets telling where they'll go in advance on a statistical basis, they do. But each and every price move is not predictable on its own...
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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    I posted that string of profitable results here for a reason. Next week I'll post more, and the following week continued, and I'll keep posting such profitable results from trading at home until I lose interest. One of many such points to make? Most aspiring traders are not willing to invest...
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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    Most aspiring traders aren't willing to work for years and years in research & development to build a functional approach that works. Matter of fact, most aspiring traders who glean free information and/or purchase information from others who prove it successful aren't willing to invest the time...
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    Easy edges in the markets for retail participants?

    I posted ten sessions' worth of blotters in the P&L thread that show profitable results. The approach I use to take money out of the market was developed and has evolved over the past six years or so. And that was after my first several years of trading where first I had to learn how markets...
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    CL Redux

    I hear this exact-same thing from many CL traders the past few months. Which is why this thread, which used to have dozens of posts per session back in the CL glory days, has not been posted to since May 7th... fifteen long days ago now. Well, the simple truth is, crude oil futures is not the...
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    Topsteptrader

    That is hands down the biggest mistake ALL traders make. Including myself at times. Cut losses short, let profits run... and run... and run deeper still. The key to solid if not substantial profits in trading is to catch big wins. "Scalping" and "bailing" out too early from perfectly good...
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    Trader P/L 2014

    My attempts to diversify trades across different symbols don't work as planned. Current market action demands my singular focus and that's it. All symbols, including (and perhaps especially) CL are chopped, spiky and prone to abrupt v-turns either direction. A ten-day test of results in actual...
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    Trader P/L 2014

    Ten-Session cumulative TF-only results pulled from blotters posted here, after all trade costs subtracted... Russell 2000 (symbol: TF) Trade Results (net all costs) Fri 03/07: $2,021 / +2012 Mon 03/10: $1025 / +3056 Tue 03/11: $1,020 / +4076 Wed 03/12: $1,360 / +5436 Thu 03/13: $20...
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    Trader P/L 2014

    Tue 03/18: missed the upside morning moves in TF, nothing much else happened all day. Wed 03/19: FOMC and CL rollover Thu 03/20: TF and CL were both spike-spastic... meager gains in each Fri 03/21: In the morning prior to 9am eastern, I was long six (6) CL contracts from blended average...
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    Topsteptrader

    well, it's their bar to set anywhere they see fit. We've all established that fact. If the VIX were at 30s or 40s or 80s like it has been in the past, you'd see people passing combines left & right. But with VIX laying face down on the basement floor these past couple of years, not gonna happen...
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    Topsteptrader

    that would definitely be a deal-breaker right there
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    Topsteptrader

    while this isn't something I lay awake thinking about at night... if TST offered the Russell as a contract in the combines I'd have been all over that long ago. Seriously now, what's the downside of qualifying for an extra $100k or $150k (or however the hell you want to quantify it) buying power...
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    Topsteptrader

    I haven't looked at the timeline parameters lately, but it doesn't matter if you have 10 or 20 sessions to reach a lofty targeted gain. The gist of it is, some periods will be favorable with higher volatility, expanded range sessions while other periods of low volatility congestion and chop will...
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    Topsteptrader

    another cure for that is keep the loss limits in place, keep the profit objectives in place... and remove the 10 or 20 or any days restriction. Let the traders operate forward towards a profit goal, with tight loss restrictions, and no deadline to get there. Poor traders won't make money and...
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    Topsteptrader

    But the problem is, no strategy or approach exists to consistently allow +100% annualized gains with a -5% or tighter limited loss. The laws of probability and distribution do not consistently allow that. Which is why a minimum profit objective that's 100% annualized with max loss of -5% any...
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