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Congratulations on your gains. Charts are merely graphical representations of the raw data Hulbert fed into his computer - data which showed no statistically significant correlation. Therefore, as I've previously stated, "a picture of Obama's Intrade chart doesn't change the facts. Why...

Posting a picture of Obama's Intrade chart doesn't change the facts: "following an increase in Obama's probabilities of winning, the stock market just as often rose as it declined."...

"To find out, I plugged the two years' of Intrade data into my PC's statistical software, along with daily returns of the Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 index , a benchmark that represents the combined value of all publicly traded stocks in the U.S. I found no statistically significant relationship...

Hulbert's analysis remains stronger. Anything else to add to the pot?

You mind sharing the analytical method that led you that conclusion? "Consider the following: If Obama's growing lead in the polls was a major factor in the market's plunge that began in mid-September, then sensitive econometric tests should have been able to detect, for the months leading up...

Affiliation Obama McCain Und/Oth* Democrat--- 88..... 09..... 03 Republican-- 12..... 85..... 03 Independent 46..... 43..... 08 Diebold------ 00..... 98..... 02 *Undecided+Other

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/11/03/palin.investigation/index.html

TD, that's two separate issues. You should recognize them as such. Personally, I didn't learn anything from the article. But, it was worth a read - for the simple fact that I found it to be interesting. Interesting things tend to motivate my grey matter to start sparking. So maybe, just...

Personally, I think he's a mulatto.

But, not for the fact that all the threads you start are rated 'one star'. :eek:

Pabst, my post had nothing to do with the topic of welfare.

Well then, I trust you will give the same treatment to Obama's demurrals.

Likewise. Although I intensely disagree with your message (and the manner in which it is delivered) at times, I must grudgingly offer the genuine compliment "you think more than most". I also have a pretty good handle on your doctrine: "Provocation As Intellectual Stimulation".:cool:

Well, 'mental fitness' was an issue in the 1972 campaign. However, as I said, I have absolutely no basis for the statement I made regarding Palin's mental health. That statement was made to highlight the reflexivity embodied in "She has nothing of interest to release".

She suffers from mental illness. There - we've both advanced totally unsubstantiated claims. However, unlike you, I don't present my claim as gospel.* *Disclaimer: In spite of making a definitive statement about Sarah Palin's mental health, I possess absolutely no credible information...

The left is trying to put the American populace into caves? You fellas sure have some interesting theories...

+1 Accurate.

Are you disagreeing with this assertion?: "you and other {hedge fund} managers chose a compensation scheme that undeniably encourages money managers to expose their clients' capital to more risk as a means of obtaining higher personal reward - with no additional personal risk being borne by the...

I've never attached the descriptor 'innocent' to ANY politician.

No sir, I believe that your reasoning is a bit one-dimensional. Under your arrangement, if the market should offer twice as many gains to your client in a given year, you will dutifully confiscate twice as money from him, while providing the exact same service - thus "spreading the wealth" -...