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Nice, thanks. Was also considering things like: effect of having to roll the futures every quarter, margin interest if short SPY (presumably variable per broker and hard to predict over time), advantages of 60/40 rule trading ES as you noted, how these factors might interact, etc. -- guess...

Question if you have a minute: If one is not utilizing leverage (e.g. allocation of $100,000.00 per ES contract), and is doing position trades, would it be better to use ES or SPY (or another)? Take long term short side per emg as an example, including tax implications, etc., into consideration.

Interesting article getting into the nerd stuff: http://www.michaelnielsen.org/ddi/how-the-bitcoin-protocol-actually-works/

What's a token trade?

This is an interesting point of discussion that I think about from time to time. What if there was the black hole swan where liquidity disappeared completely? Likely? Probably not. But I bet some risk manager out there is pondering such a scenario, and figuring out what event(s) would...

The reality is that a lot is riding on the assumptions of future results, and the wild card factors in the case of failure are not immediately evident to those who have not experienced it first hand. Risks/stakes in the case of a loan would be immediately compounded, quite unnecessarily, and...

Unless you are not worried about the long term financial (and life/family/marriage/health/etc.) risks, this is probably the most important advice here.. how can it be justified to leave a $200k salary job (very enviable to most) unless you are pulling in significantly more (think millions per...

Disagree strongly on the above. Trade with risk capital only (money that you can afford to lose, not on a loan). Just my view. Surely others have made it work out favorably on a loan of some form, but then again, surely others have ended up creating very difficult, life changing situations...

Looking to form a small and honest group of independent futures traders in Seattle. Located near downtown area. Please PM if interested. Thanks, murrica

eat, sleep, blow-up, repeat.

Any chance you might share your methodology for identifying entries and exits?

N225 CME futures currently 15230 after hitting 15860. Apologize for being off by 7 ticks on the N225 CME futures. Will try to do better analysis next time (looking at multi-decade index charts and extrapolating correctly from cash index to futs would have opened up the estimated 15800-15825...

Cmon now, putting aside Seykota's philosophies, what other reason is there to trade besides financial gain? I believe your intention is good, but this is a trading site, after all.

Let's assume you are right. Can you devise a plan to profit from this information? How heavily is reality manipulated for you specifically, either in your consciousness, or externally? Is solipsism the real explanation? Or, if the behavior of the markets is truly independent of your...

Did you run your strats on more than 10 months of data? Did you do due diligence on your private investigator (to ensure he/she isn't playing to your suspicions in order to gain a long term 'client')? Just trying to help.

You need risk capital to play this game. Start by documenting paper trades (in a journal on this forum will work) and review your performance ovet time. Be sure to have timely entries and exits if posting here. Simultaneously get a job in order to save money, or find investors. Good...

Can you just post the document now? There are also representatives on this forum from that particular brokerage firm. Perhaps they can chime in? However, I'd suspect that if untrue (or if you were, e.g., somehow mistaken, and received the info erroneously), they might want to simply...

Can anyone corroborate this info?

Thanks for responding. 6J should just be the CME futures contract for the JPY/USD pair: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/fx/g10/japanese-yen_contract_specifications.html

Suspect sellers will get one last chance to get in and/or out at favorable prices Sunday night and/or pre-open, and slightly worse from there at Monday RTH open. Expecting selling to begin in earnest at that time if we open higher from today's close. If not, then alternate entry strategies...