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    Abnormal Skew in Delta/Prob of OTM

    Imo option spreads have widened too far, could be the factor you are missing
  2. G

    Are we in a stock market bubble?

    they have not yet begun to buy stocks directly which they could
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    How to tell when this bull run is done

    alternatively: market crack up would also mean VIX to go higher but nvm.
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    How to tell when this bull run is done

    yeah, add that to quote on quote the perfect storm
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    How to tell when this bull run is done

    today if we stay below 280 spy its downwoards we go. Edit: also, the call to put ratio has risen, good time for the boys to take market lower
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    That's a nice lake (part #1)

    most of them are cyclical. Pray that tthere is never a long recession or your "ETF" is toast. Not criticysing your effort, but thats my view. you could add some tech giants to make up for it as example
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    Where to Invest $10,000 Right Now

    you know the risk, that oil price could go NEGATIVE before it goes above 30?
  8. G

    Warning - Inflation, Hyperinflation, Stagflation coming

    I bet a truckload of beer that salaries won't grow, but decrease because of excess in supply of HR. Its globalization for you, my friend. And as ex-Forextrader my heart cringes if you consider AUD, CAD and NZD as safe currencies. They are the risk-on currencies if you know what that means...
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    Where to Invest $10,000 Right Now

    Or you can just yolo/fomo AMZN MSFT, NFLX but thats not my style
  10. G

    Where to Invest $10,000 Right Now

    My picks: BABA, BAYN, SIEMENS Healthineers, KURN, RO, NOVN, SWON, ASX:GGG, ASX:LYN, KO, K, F(short). Edit: made 18% so far. Am 30% cash for rebuys
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    Goldman Sachs abandons its bearish near-term view on stocks, says the bottom is in

    its not so much relevant to the FAANGs as AMZN, FB, and Netflix can increase their earnings through COVID. Same for MS and partially for Google. The only big tech comp that might really sell off is Apple, but given they are only valued 20 times their past earnings there is not much premium to sell.
  12. G

    IB real time data lag

    where do you live? Ping is also relevant.
  13. G

    question about SPY and MES

    Does the MES follow the SPY or SPY follow the MES?
  14. G

    Prediction: Amazon will buy USPS

    there is no point for AMZN to do so, they have their own logistic that would become obsolete if they did.
  15. G

    Real Estate

    there will be not much difference between US and venezuela soon. The rich beeing rich, the rest hungry.
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    Real Estate

    Ladies and Gentlemen, you are witnessing not the United States, but the Broke States of America collapsing, changing it from "Home of the free" to the "Home of the Homeless and unemployed". Many people will live with less then people living in the UDSSR had. So to spek: capitalism has lost...
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    Bracket Orders with Trailing Stop loss/TP

    yes you can, under global settings --> order presets. I do not know however if it is possible to make the bracket auto-adjust to price since I adjust set them manually
  18. G

    +239% YTD on COVID-19: Next Steps

    god am I envious now, wish I could develop asuch models myself:)
  19. G

    Position sizing and adding to winners.

    I work with thight stops in the beginning anyways, so if it is a stinker I close both of them immediately. My r/r rate is always greater then 1:1 for both positions. The first has a r/r of 1,2 which is small but good enough. I'm not having problems with beeing profitable, but to let winners...
  20. G

    What are the repercussions of unlimited printing?

    Die Deutsche Bank selbst ist wohl der grösste aller Zombies
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