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  1. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    I mean the dec 08 8.00 corn straddle
  2. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    because the situation isn't that dire for the carry or the spread would represent it. What a guy could do is buy july sell dec 08 and since the trade is at full carry you pretty much have zero risk. Check out the dec 08 corn straddle riv it looks good to me, Youngtrader said they were bidding...
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    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    oh yeah july/dec is full carry, meaning that there is absolutely ZERO commerical interest in hoarding corn. Now take a look at the 09 version of that spread, july is 1.00 dollar! over dec! now something isnt right? We have all these floods andsupposedly these horrible yields, but there is zero...
  4. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    it wasnt an option spread. I have been putting these things on forver and i was up pretty good but recently they have shot back on me. I bought aug and sold oct at a premium of 7.30 to the oct side. I'm expecting it to get narrow. It's staying static, but the roll into aug has begun and will...
  5. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    I'd imagine with cocoa closing over 3000 youll get some selling of that spread out of the pit. Finally eh? yeah coffee was weird today, almost shorted it at 142.00 ish and then it dropped like a rock and almost got a short at iin at 139 but got nervous and took it off. Trade the charts is...
  6. R

    Corn's Perfect Storm

    In general. I trade mainly kc and chi never traded Minni. I feel mildly bullish, commercials will hoard IMO. I hand chart alot of different wheat spreads and the march 09 july 09 chi spread has tightened up a decent amount. It feels strong. but we shall see.
  7. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    hmmm coffee working back alot of those highs. something has got to give and when it does this market is gonna fly. I still don't know which way. It seems bullish but fundamentally im leaning bearish with the big harvest. hmmm
  8. R

    Corn's Perfect Storm

    this rally is totally supply concern driven (since march or so) and looking at the carry between july dec it is beyond 100 percent showing there is ample corn n ow look at 09 with july/dec. july is what a buck over dec? The picture is not as urgent right now as everyone thinks (imo of course)...
  9. R

    Corn's Perfect Storm

    prof i'd be interested to hear what you think about wheat?
  10. R

    Corn's Perfect Storm

    hahahah
  11. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    oj has been wild today, days liek this are great to make money just put a pos. on and go with it. I am late to the party though! Just stay on the sidelines. added 2 aug/oct cattle at 7.30 on friday. see what those are going to do today. I really like an 8.00 corn straddle fellas, Corn is strong...
  12. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    dumped oj, for a loss. Feels weak. Coffee does feel strong but this rally is dollar decline rally imo. I could be wrong though, I'm going ot wait till harvest picks up pace to get short and that will probably be around 145 but right now looking long only
  13. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    good call on coffee shagi, i got out of it friday. have a long oj, feels weak to me though. Riv I will look into those options spreads, cocoa hit 3000!! good job
  14. R

    Corn's Perfect Storm

    yeah it will but it will be a while before it does.
  15. R

    Corn's Perfect Storm

    with that said i'm still very very bullish corn, I just don't think it has the legs to get past 9.50 but I could be wrong it has happenend before. and yes the wheat corn relationship still exists (barely after wheat getting 6.00 over corn) but it still exists
  16. R

    Corn's Perfect Storm

    cutten I guess I don't understand your analogy lol. I just feel like a range from 5.50 to 9.50 from now until the middle of novemeber is probably going to be "safe" Everybody is freaking out about the corn situation, and I agree that what is going on in Iowa and the midwest is a tragedy and it...
  17. R

    sugar

    Criv I easily was in and out of some march 09 calls that I bought a while ago and that was in march so you should be able to get some dtuff done
  18. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    Criv my man hope all is well. I've been busy as hell with real estate not much time to chat on here. Anywho, Cocoa is looking good that 3000 is gonna get hit soon. It's just psychological, it has legs for possible 3100-3200 imho. coffee very rangebound, my bias is still short. Bought two oj's as...
  19. R

    OJ/ Coffee Random Musings

    shagi there is a distinct possibility that you I sold you the coffee contract that you bought :) Ha ha I've got very tights stops and might just dump on the open, don't have the best feeling about it. Anyways what else is going on? selling a dec 7.50 corn straddle looks good
  20. R

    Lieberman: Restrain Large Speculators

    Thank you sir!
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