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I'm not sure why you think that. You're using a statistic that is virtually meaningless in terms of a 1-year time-frame. If you really want to get technical with using statistics, you really only have 63% chance that we'll go higher than 7% returns on the year and a 37% chance that we'll go...

I think you mean a 7% historical risk premium?...beause historically, the markets have an expected return of about 11.8%. And that is just an average. It has absolutely nothing to do with year to year returns. The markets have a one standard deviation of about 15%, which means you have a 67%...

Because psychology also plays a huge role in the stock market. People will stampede over each other to get out of the door causing bloodshed. By "supporting" the market, the idea is to prevent psychological decisions from influencing economic decisions on the part of investors. If the market is...

Maybe not quite AHM, but I've been riding CPT from 66 to about 56 over the last month. I still think this stock is quite a bit overvalued so we'll see where it goes from here.