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I think you totally missed his point. His point was that rising oil is the cause of the devaluation of the dollar. He didn't say there should be 1 to 1 relation in price change between the two. It doesn't have to be 1 to 1. X and Y are correlated does not mean dX/X = dY/Y. John

Oil - dollar correlation is -0.7 in the last 8 years. Simply means that most of the time, when the dollar fell against the euro, oil prices rose. http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2004/11/b258795.html The author is a senior Economist. By the way, what are you? John

You are over reacting I think. Not everyone in the mortgage business gave loans to unqualified home buyers. Those that did that are punished by the market, The impact to the Economyas a whole has been overstated by the media to force the FED to cut rates and save these companies. The FED has...

Hi Ron, thanks to you I purchased APS a while back and have learned a lot from it. I do not think it uses a modified permutation method but a data mining algorithm instead. Regardless, it does exactly what it's supposed to do. Thanks again. John

How do you define expectancy? You may find the free article by Michael Harris "Derivation of the Profitability Rule and its Application in the Discovery of Trading Systems Based on Price Patterns" very interesting. Also read the next free article "Automatic Discovery of Trading Systems: The...

No more rate cuts! You are on your own:) John

You are assuming he understands what "subprime" means and more importantly you are assuming that he is actually trading. If he knew anything about it he would not have made that stupid comment. You will find many who post here just to try to boost their ego. Their shrink suggested they do...

I would like to express my gratitude and thank those who tried to help me and share their experience with me with valuable information and links. I am 24 years old, just completed ny MS thesis in Applied Math. I have been trading stocks for 2 years. I have studied technical analysis and...

Is anyone here using pattern recognition techniques to trade real money? What is the best timeframe to apply such analysis? Can anyone suggest a good book on this subject and software packages? I just got a new job with a hedge fund (1.5 Billion USD under management) as a technical...

I'm looking for APS Automatic Pattern Search users who get their ascii data from Metastock. I have found someone to develop software for the automatic update of ascii data files used by APS at a reasonable cost and would like to share the development cost. The software will be password protected...

The first step is to visit this site: http://www.answersthatwork.com/Tasklist_pages/tasklist.htm Then, Click START/RUN and type in "msconfig". Go to the startup tab and you will get a list of all startup tasks. Go over the tasks one by one as detailed in the above link and determine...

"In the next coming months, Success Trade will be offering direct access trading on a per share basis. Per share pricing will be at $.002 per share all inclusive for smart-routed orders, or at $.004 per share all inclusive of any ECN fees for orders directed to ECNs. Customers will have the...

Nik, thanks for the suggestion. I recall I was getting some weird results from another program of the same kind way back. One must be very careful with those programs. John

The World GDP is grossly underestimated for various political and practical reasons. China's GDP persists at around 8% despite efforts to curb growth. One indication of the possibility of a grossly underestimated world GDP is the current level of dry bulk shipping freight rates being close...

Lately there is a lot of talk about Algorithmic Trading. It sounds to me like a heavy duty buzzword for mechanical trading or automated trading. or is there something I'm missing? John

Yep, that's because you need a Ph.D. in math to understand those indicators. Anyway, I always thought that the simplest indicators are the best. Think about it, there are only two possibilities, up or down. John

Nik, can you be more specific about the backtester problems? I just ordered APS Automatic Pattern Search, which is a program that finds patterns and generates MS code and I'll be using the backtester to work on some ideas I have about combining those patterns with indicators, specifically DMI...

Has anyone here used this type of order? Do you get better fills as compared to placing a market order right after the open? John

Any good stock portfolio software program out there for day/swing traders that can update real-time from the eSignal feed and provide rule-based alerts? Thanks, John

There is nothing good about the vid. It's based on gross misconceptions of the financial system and the way it operates. John