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  1. L

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    Cool thanks... all I hear these days is "vol is so cheap" and "LTCM, the calm before the storm." I might just put a small bet coz this is just ridiculous... thanks for the suggestion.
  2. L

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    Are you in the buying volatility camp, Mcurto?
  3. L

    Crude bounce.....

    Ok, but for people of limited financial means, would be safer to pay that premium especially if it's going to 72
  4. L

    zero sum game?????????????

    IN more formal terms, "Opportunity cost"
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    We were very very lucky the terriosts didnt destroy Saudi Oil transfer point!

    I expect many did not listen to the reports properly, the 100 dollar figure being floated around is if Abqaiq in its ENTIRETY suddenly was not there. The facility is absolutely massive, it's like 2/3rds of Saudi output, to blow up something of that size would be close to impossible unless there...
  6. L

    $100 million possible?

    I heard from a pal that the top trader on the Street at one of the major banks in CAnada pulled in more than the CEO last year, close to 20 million... Now, obviously he must have a rich compensation package, but he would have to pull in somewhere along the lines of 100 mill for the bank before...
  7. L

    Crude bounce.....

    What's the advantage of selling the puts as opposed to simply buying the calls...
  8. L

    Crude bounce.....

    Got raped today, the only good thing coming outta it is that I get the weekend to think things over...
  9. L

    Crude bounce.....

    Nice name... 60 is definitely a support, so is 57 area, we break those we may be in for a squeeze further down towards low 50s... Me's a hopin
  10. L

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    AFter the CPI today I got out, inflation is way outta bounds and we still go up... this is ridiculous... The Bund is leading, the shorts are getting squeezed, and so was I...
  11. L

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I would feel a lot more comfortable with my position had I gotten in on friday, not a week back, it's just such a waste of time-value, I coulda been short some more oil... Now we need to retest highs past 113, so ya, kinda pissy... Just came back from skiing, seems like winter's back with a...
  12. L

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    What happened to all the steepeners?!! A week ago all I heard was the insti's playing the 10-30s, and within a couple days all I hear is they're bailing on me!! I'm not one to break against the trend, but this is ridiculous.... There should be a reasonable resistence level especially at the 30...
  13. L

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    Let your profits ride, cut your losses short... Still holding...
  14. L

    Job listings on bloomberg

    Unless you have a couple thousand dollas to spend per month, the subscription is absolutely unattainable... I have a couple in my office, I sometimes go in on weekends to get screen time... Great for research...
  15. L

    Lucky 10 year bond trade and

    Key point for the ten year is 4.60%... There is absolutely a realistic reason why there would be a rally after an auction, nobody bidding for on-the-runs would wanna pay a premium for these things if they want to flip them out... Just that this time maybe the 30s were already pushing yields down...
  16. L

    .. on a run

    "Law of averages" Bull shit, roll heads fifety times in a row, the next fifety aren't more likely to be tails... Congrats on your success, I say keep doing what you're doing... If you want to sleep better at nite, by all means reduce size, but let's get our probabilities right..
  17. L

    Lucky 10 year bond trade and

    That's some nice top picking at 110' Steve... I got outta my longs on the way down, finally got into a short, after patiently waiting for the 30's supply to hit the market... Yes, it's hard sitting on your hands when you have a good feeling about getting in...
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    buying gold here?

    I never said I was short gold.... my comments with regards to a meltdown are not specific to this situation, but in general... I"m actually long gold, and have been long gold for a LOOONG time, check my posts before writing ok
  19. L

    buying gold here?

    you want a slow steady decline, with lower highs and lower lows... a market that falls off a cliff is not a sign of a pullback, more like a crisis circa 1997 Asia...
  20. L

    buying gold here?

    Don't think this is the end of the downleg, the market was clearly overbought on concern over Iran, but really things moved WAAY too quickly, before any material damage had been done. Made some change on oil and will sell any rally until we get near the fifeties, I'll change my mind if oil...
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