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Got stopped today @ 1.471. Trump's approval to RIN price caps ruined this good trade. Still a winner though.

02:51:46 and 02:51:58. Daily high at the moment.

My target should be around 34. I thought about cocoa as well but there was some little things I didn't like, namely the fact that NY cocoa is already expensive compared to London and the specs position.

Out ZCK18 @ 388.;)

Long ZLK18@ 32.42. -Ridiculously low oil share. -Funds net short. -Soy complex bullishness can't leave oil behind.

Apparently, I just got stopped out 1 day too early "Ystdy's sugar11 dlvy where Alvean, a large producer (Cargill+Copersucar), TOOK delivery of 7,945 contracts is understood to be an indication of large diversion of sugarcane to ethanol in Brazil+turning to the exchange for supply to meet...

Still holding my KWN18/ZWN18 until the crop breaks dormancy. Also long some MW N18/U18 but it hasn't really moved yet. But I am ( obviously ) missing the outright action.

Has anybody kept track of Dave Hightower calls? It seems like he is Gartman 2.0. I haven't followed a lot of his calls but each time it was terrible. Today he wants to buy soymeal puts...

And this a loss again. Out@ 13.05. Crappy outright trading lately for sure.

HRW crop conditions deteriorating again in Kansas...

Out the rest @ -4.75. It didn't go parabolic but it was still a good trade.

Out @ 110.75. Happy about this long term trade.:) Initially had a closer target but decided to hold until expiry when the cold snap/dryness came.

Actually, since we are talking commodities, at any given time there is more upside price risk than downside. The volatility/velocity increases when prices go up contrary to equities. Here calls are quite always pricier than puts. But to come back to your coffee trade, I don't know if that...

Interesting question. If there is a tangible price floor when it comes to calendar spreads( Carrying charges = storage + insurance + financing in non-VSR commodities ), it is hard to calculate an absolute price floor for a given commodity. The ultimate one is when nobody is able to produce in...

It's the first time I see it. No idea if it has been posted before. Feat. Tony Saliba and Jack Sandner. Even the commercials are nice...

You see that April 2014 spike? This was my worst 1 day loss ever. I wasn't trading ethanol actively at the time, but with all the action, I started to scalp it at the end of March. At beginning of April, I was trading bigger size when all my bids were taken simultaneously. The market immediately...

I was typically looking for a 1 week to 1 month move. Not just the reaction to the initial report. For outrights, I don't scale in and out but for spreads, I do scale out when I feel the potential of the market to go parabolic. By the way, yesterday's EIA ethanol numbers were fun to watch. At...

Out @ 120.35. Outrights are always hard to trade...:(

Went long MWN18/MWU18 @ -8 at the Close. -The spread is priced as if 2018 HRS crop was even tighter than 2017 when even acreage is still completely unknown. -Seasonality. -Funds are now short.

Long Apr Ethanol @ 1.458 after major stocks draw/ production fall. I missed the initial reaction to the EIA numbers( was scalping other stuff ), but wanted to be long ethanol for quite some time. The news in general are quite bullish ( China mega ethanol plan will need imports, Brazil imports...