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I'm noticing more and more brazen bullishness on msg energy boards (CWEI on yahoo is a popular one). Somehow the sheeple are managing to get on board right at the top again. The fact that energy and oil went down even with the real threat of Rita headed for Houston is a huge alarm bell. But...

imho it had a lot to do with oil. This thing has been propped by that sector for a long time and we're seeing some weakness - even with Rita! :eek:

oops! What happened? :D

Yes, but its a picture not a movie. You have to right click on chart to get it for that interval. It doesn't flow like other providers.

Your accts have been trying to talk to you for a while now. You're just not listening.

QCOM? AAPL (broke above second 15 min candle) SHLD another potential

The real Q is how many times has the Fed not been accurately predicted by the FedFund futures? Right now its almost a lock (around 95%) for a raise. Anytime in the past this happen and the Fed did the unexpected?

I mean to say it goes up. If the Fed pauses or heaven forbid, cuts that will telegraph that the US is in big doo-doo. We all know it is anyway but the Fed will not want to communicate this. When they raise, this will communicate that the economy is strong and will/has weathered (pardon the...

This is a no brainer. Look at the bond market (2 year), look at the fed futures, look at Greenspan's history of telegraphing moves, look at the recent fed gov comments, etc...... Here's the situation as I see it, Fed moves +0.25 and the market rips up. That's my prognostication from peering...

Latest results of sentiment from lowrisk.com: 22% bullish, 43% previous week 49% bearish, 21% previous week 29% neutral, 36% previous week

Why does anyone think that the currency a commodity is quoted at means anything? :confused: I've heard this silly conspiracy theory over and over again but it makes no sense.

rts, thanks. That's pretty much the conclusion that I came to as well. Of course, its hard to know that the reading will be it or whether lower readings will follow but it has a nice way of creating a backdrop, or macro view of the market. Thanks for the Rydex stuff as well. I see that...

Its a bit fuzzy still but I think the data seems to suggest that a spike down in sentiment is a sign of capitulation in the market. Recent examples are Mar 2003 at 77.6 (second lowest to the recent readings) and the Oct 2002 low with 80.6 The puzzling thing is why the media keeps harping on...

Look at this: And then check out the detailed data here. Notice that when the sentiment surve falls below a significant congestion area (late 90's and late 80s) the market doesn't last much before falling significantly. The only exception I can find is the dip in Oct 98 (to below...

Dude, did you even visit the site I mentioned? You're not selling the system you're putting it up so people subscribe to its signals and trade. Jeebuz....Dean, just go visit the site. I'm done here. Wasalam - Peace

"Oh, ad hominem, what would scoundrels do without you? You and 'straw man' are their last hope and refuge." Seriously, why not go to collective2.com and just put up your system and be done with it? Does it make too much sense? is it too simple? Will that give you too much credibility as...

Yup, he's got some great stuff: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/search.php?s=&action=showresults&searchid=901131&sortby=lastpost&sortorder=descending

I guess the idea made too much sense so he had to engage in ad hominem to distract from its logical center goodness and its equally pragmatic frosting. dean, if you can 'think' that you're a teacher, then I can 'think' that dean is not your birth name.

How about this? Why doesn't 'Dean' (somehow I don't think this is his birth name) go to http://www.collective2.com/ and set up a system? Put the price high (like say $500/month) so he restricts the number of people piling on and since he's such a great guy, I'm sure he'll only charge for...

There was a thread a while back about the best threads on ET (I think TriPack had it going). But I can't find it after a lot of searching. If anyone finds it, please put up the link. In the meantime, I wanted to create it again (in case its not found or lost in cyberspace). This is for...