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  1. tommcginnis

    Synthetic stock (buy call & sell put) - can you get assigned or not?

    Did you sell a put contract? Yes. Does that option create a contractual responsibility on your part? Yes. o_O
  2. tommcginnis

    Why is the efficient market hypothesis flawed

    Skew? Kurtosis? Functions of a Normal Distribution? These are not necessities for any composition of efficient markets of the EMH. :wtf: Y'all. :cool:
  3. tommcginnis

    Why is the efficient market hypothesis flawed

    Why is the efficient market hypothesis flawed Because if it were not flawed, it would be The Efficient Market Law. Hello. :wtf: Pretty simple, really. :cool:
  4. tommcginnis

    Howard Marks memo

    "Nailed it." :fistbump::thumbsup::thumbsup:
  5. tommcginnis

    The World Dictators Coronavirus-19 is going to manipulate GOOG crashing down just against my 2 share

    Reminds me so much of Dr. Bronner's soap labels -- which went essentially unchanged for 40 years? 50 years?? A single sentence blathering on in tiny print One World LOVE y'all...! This guy has obviously flipped that coin. Nuh Nuh 19-Corona! Dictators at Every Corner HEY! Where'd my money go...
  6. tommcginnis

    The bulls are coming soon

    You're just a month late.
  7. tommcginnis

    Iceland study suggests half of COVID carriers asymptomatic yet infectious

    And I'm not saying that this is not a grand mal serious situation. But there are two kinds of sampling bias going on here -- the one where only those with 1+ symptoms are receiving a test for the presence of CoVID-19 [wrong wrong wrong, for Public Health data], and the second, where the only...
  8. tommcginnis

    What businesses do you think will come back strong after the lockdown is over?

    Errrr, no. I get the source of your humor, but just to be clear, at 00:00:28, there is an inserted couple of seconds where [Humanity's Hugger] empties his pockets -- of all the loot he'd managed to pilfer during his hug-tour. (cracks me up.)
  9. tommcginnis

    Iceland study suggests half of COVID carriers asymptomatic yet infectious

    :confused:You're seriously quoting a mid-winter cruise ship population as a sound sample for nation? Again, you DO contribute so much to ET trading threads, but biostatistical/actuarial nuance.... just *ain't* your thing.
  10. tommcginnis

    Nobody Knows The Number

    Southall, you contribute *much* to ET's trading threads, but this whole populationy-cohorty-actuarial thing seems juuuuuust a bit outside your wheelhouse.
  11. tommcginnis

    Nobody Knows The Number

    Bingo. Watch the video -- you'll "Yay!" yourself hoarse before it's over. :fistbump::thumbsup::fistbump:
  12. tommcginnis

    Nobody Knows The Number

    Thank you for posting this, but you can see the reception. :confused: I got the same reception a week ago, on an ultramarathon list famously populated with economists, statisticians, and genuine rocket scientists. :( Eventually, we'll realize that without population incidence, we have nothing...
  13. tommcginnis

    Iceland study suggests half of COVID carriers asymptomatic yet infectious

    Gentlemen: There are TWO tests relevant here -- one for testing whether the virus is in your blood. For this, you may be symptomatic or asymptomatic, but the virus bits will still be detectable in your blood, nasal drips, coughs, skin sloughs, pooh, etc. THE OTHER TEST though, is WHETHER YOU...
  14. tommcginnis

    What businesses do you think will come back strong after the lockdown is over?

    What businesses do you think will come back strong after the lockdown is over? What businesses do you think *won't*?? There is nothing endogenous to the market/economy that started all of this, so little reason to think that a "shock", once lifted, will not see a timely return to previous...
  15. tommcginnis

    Service to visualise trades

    IB's TWS ChartTrader.
  16. tommcginnis

    Prodigal Son? -- Executions and Cost.

    Welcome back! (If it's not too early to say....) So.... Schwab: props to them for the visual familiarity they (might) bring to your trading, but regardless, I would only use them as a straw man, and would undertake a review of the current offerings. But too, you're right about pretty much *any*...
  17. tommcginnis

    Watchlist questions

    1) No. :( But! :wtf: There is a "Notes" column, which you can fill with ascii characters. 2) No. :( But! :wtf: By hitting the first tab (upper left) and hitting the "more" arrow at the bottom, you will expose export/import abilities. Ignore the Export To Excel tab :vomit: and use the Export To...
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