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  1. V

    Ag trade ideas

    Kinda interesting situation @ feeder cattle v-x today there was a little fake breakout (also volume is not big there, i know one service that recommended to buy at breakout @ 2.275, perfect :D) bearish seasonality starts this week, also we are near historical highs at this time of year...
  2. V

    Deseasonal Forward Curves

    few more articles (not mine) http://seasonalfuturesspreads.blogspot.com.es/2015/02/deseasonalized-forward-curves.html http://seasonalfuturesspreads.blogspot.com/2015/02/lean-hogs-forward-curve.html i'm not sure whether author is right or not
  3. V

    Ag trade ideas

    sold cotton h-k, canola x-f bought heating oil x-f, corn u-h, soymeal -h+2*k-n all because of seasonality and TA also bought once again @-3.25 kcbt-cbot december wheat, liked the volume today, stop is near -5.25
  4. V

    Ag trade ideas

    why? carry is something like 6 c/month, so for an year it will be near 70
  5. V

    Ag trade ideas

    could u plz show seasonal? afaics it's not closed. vice versa
  6. V

    Ag trade ideas

    kinda strange f. curve (mgex wheat)
  7. V

    Ag trade ideas

    i closed near 7.5 because of transferring my account to another broker
  8. V

    Ag trade ideas

    Why? To be honest, i think it's kinda strange exit. You did it right at the support. Maybe it's the beginning of the seasonal up move, the volume's got bigger. Also IMO nearer spread is better
  9. V

    Ag trade ideas

    webinar Global Impacts of El Nino on Agriculture Meteorologists in USDA’s Office of Chief Economist, Mark Brusberg, Deputy Chief Meteorologist and Brian Morris, Meteorologist will provide presentations on El Nino’s weather impacts on global agriculture. Mark is USDA’s weather expert on North and...
  10. V

    Ag trade ideas

    just seasonality and TA (downtrend, pullback)
  11. V

    Ag trade ideas

    short live cattle g-j @0.775 also i've been waiting for butterfly to take wing, but it can't, don't know whether to live it to the next week or not
  12. V

    Ag trade ideas

    returning to your discussion, i'm considering to go to daniel's trading, John Payne (broker) said about 1.29 commis per side and 15 dollars for CBOT, CME, NYMEX, LIFFE, MATIF, COMEX, ICE US. And free platform. I think it's kinda a good deal, coz currently i pay 157 monthly only for terminal and...
  13. V

    Ag trade ideas

    i sold spread kcu-z but only because of seasonality
  14. V

    Cash prices

    Did you find prices? And do they help you?
  15. V

    Ag trade ideas

    i'm not sure, but maybe you can trade using QTrader in IB, ask them
  16. V

    Ag trade ideas

    maybe try cqg qtrader
  17. V

    Ag trade ideas

    It's exchange spread. It has its own ticker, DOM...
  18. V

    Weather data & maps

    http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/Global/Atm_Temp/Anomaly.html?bbox=bb%3A280.00%3A-24.88%3A328.12%3A11.25%3Abb&T=Jul-aug%202014 monthly anomalies all over the world
  19. V

    Ag trade ideas

    sxq-u incredible rise, but still don't understand why
  20. V

    Ag trade ideas

    I don''t know what lies behind seasonality, i've written my thoughts here, (it's in russian), main idea: 1)usually KCBT is higher, because there is more protein (13.5% vs 11,5%). 2) this summer because of huge precipitation in CBOT wheat region, price became almost equal. So, when weather...
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