Search results

The "tell" is we made a new low on NO VOLUME. Not alot of selling. I would like to see a blow off day with huge volume and price reversal but I'll assume there is a floor under NG as this is gonna be a major fuel source for North America for the next 100 years. MACROtrend. I'll buy more...

Agreed but that not how I trade. I like to be punished a little now and then. I'm in but my time horizon is Looooong!!!

FYI Natural Gas and some Soft Ag's and grains are cheap if and when inflation hits. Metals are too extended. These commodities will be good hedges against inflation and with macrotrends in currency crosses are your friend once the interest jack after monetization begins.

It's on my buy list---position trade for a multi-YEAR swing

Natural Gas making a multi-year low soon. Symbol: UNG http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=UNG#symbol=UNG;range=5y

OK now look at unemployment and job growth in April/May 2007 when the VIX was at this level. Unemployment was 4.4%. Job growth was positive or near baseline. http://fidweek.econoday.com/byshoweventfull.asp?fid=442380&cust=mam&year=2010#top Now we have unemployment of >10% Negative job...

That was funny!!!

Look at the attached monthly VIX chart. The range is compressed at the FAR end of the low going back to 2007. Something's gonna give. Monday at 10am EST will likely be a good day to kick off a good low risk short if I had to guess ;)

Sweeeeet!!! Monthly VIX and hourly money flows....

This is what I call a Foshizzle Day. Confirmation on a lower fractal that the trend is changing. Without further info the top of this intermediate term trend may be 1125 however that fact is never confirmed until after the fact. I still expect another dying gasp to attempt the glory of...

Atta boy!!!

I put today's numbers into the "machine." The algo says high of 1129.75 in the SPOOS at 10:05am EST on Monday March 8th, 2010. I expect a short-term high with a retest of 1030 to 1050 area with a short term and possible long term bear market bottom on July 5th, 2010 at 8:05 am EST. Now...

In another thread somebody mentioned the Open for the year as a "Line in the Sand" and that is certainly becoming a truism. For now above 1115 long and below 1112 short. I myself am flat because I do not like crap shoots.

Yesterday afternoon and this afternoon somebody has been SLOWLY selling the top of the range. 14/15 trading days have been accumulation. Someone's gonna get antsy with this much money on the table. It's like a game of chicken on the highway.

One of the things I measure is the velocity of money flow. The force required to move higher is diminishing. My measures show institutional money flows are slowing. It takes INSTITUTIONAL MONEY to make the market move. In other words there is a SLIGHT divergence between price appreciation and...

Update target for SPOOS high 1132.50 Then it will likely hang out in a 10-15 pt range for awhile before a change in short term trend to retest bottom of range at 1030 to 1050 area over the next few months. July 4th is a good time for a bottom. JMHO

Agreed. Macro short. Micro long. The pound is gonna hurt. UK doesn't have the size of the US economy and the strength of the USD to pull the deep pocketed moves the FED can to manipulate the economy.

Macroeconomic Lessons What a low volume lifeless market. Can barely get filled 'cause there's no players in the house... Look the Fed is gonna monetize. But to get the push for that move they need the cash money off the sidelines and outta bonds. The money is moving into the USD which...

http://eeepc.net/haleron-hal-tablet-is-no-hal-9000/ The new Hal

Tis true. But when I look at the last 6 months I see sideways. I see more sideways ahead that's all. Nouriel, Goldman, the FED, et. al. all maintain "U-shaped" recovery which is doublespeak for trading range. The trend in my account is up regardless. 1130-1030 that's what my magic...