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You can use your own methodology to deduce an answer. But I'm no expert on VIX futures. VIX is very low right now. The probabilty of VIX spiking before Jan. '23 may be considered very high.

Hey, pass some of that over here.

You and Kev should just stop it. Just stop it!

The chilli is cooking again.

Well, this isn't the trade that you are implying. Maybe get some other ideas. Sell 400 55Cs @ 2.15 Buy 20,000s for the conversion. Any edge here depends on the exact price of the UL No 1.00 edge, just my first impression.

Interesting thread. I've traded CL almost exclusively for over a decade. I'm a decent CL trader. I mostly swing trade it. But I tire of the month to month roll and the limited option liq. - only the front monthlies trade well, no diagonal opps, etc. I've recently been trading ES, because of...

Or just sell the nearest to ATM strangle. You could ratio it to neutralize.

Leg out this one for 2.20 yesterday at around 11am EDT. -170. I was fortunate to get this much out of it. Roughly -80 overall. Teaser trade with GME barely dipping below 200 twice. First time, Monday, the spreads had an OK little profit. This is my fourth GME trade. The front week...

Well, as usual, I did a lot of tactical trading. Sold puts on the way up. Last night, I traded some MES 2 lots, but unfotunately, only scalped them. Anything to improve the cost basis. Got up late though and missed the open which could have changed everything. Bottom line, I am now...

destriero now has a new bear rug in his house. It isn't dead, it's just afraid to move. (yes, another Chuck Norris joke)

Out this one for 7.50. Lousy leg out. +100

Ave. 99

shorting here 97-98

I'll go with the pullback. Not yet, though.

Shoot man, that's some heavy shit. It happens to me too often, but with my small scale it's not critical, usually. I live and do some work on a small farm, where we raise goats and vegetables, and there can be distractions. Sometimes it works out, sometimes it doesn't. Good luck with that.

Tail wagging the dog.

I changed it for you. I'm sorry for making it seem like you know what you are talking about.:)

The "reasons" often seem ridiculous. USD, interest rates vs. the market. It makes sense. Decent week here for me. The loss is a thing of the past. EDIT: After taking the loss, I flipped short; only to take about 9 points of heat. That whipsaw ain't fun, but it worked out.

Got out @ 4221ave. 23pt. loss x 6 MES =-690 Option trades were 75+75+305-137.50 = +317.50 Total - 372.50 + costs

All out in the last few minutes. I'll calculate the loss.