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  1. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    Well perhaps someone should post a notice every week or two that "Only the following opinions and topics are permitted here and if you don't like to go away; 1) Topic 1 2) Opinion 1 ... ..." Personally I find that when I try to close my mind to differing opinions, it also closes...
  2. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    D, The BioComp product I own is a very old Neural Network product, logically similar to dozens of others. It trains a NN to make predictions of the Dependant varaible. If BioComp no longer markets such products than as you point out a comparative benchmark is impossible. Jerry
  3. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    Carl, Your product sounds more like art than mathematics. Success (or beauty) is only in the eye of the beholder. Are you saying it has no objective metrics at all? I’ve worked with many modeling applications and they all create various performance metrics, perhaps the most common being R2...
  4. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    Kevin, My BioComp product is from some years ago. As I mentioned I stopped using it some time ago when I found that general purpose modeling applications work better on the market. So benchmarking an "ancient" copy of Carl’s product would hardly be fair. Perhaps someone with a current copy...
  5. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    Carl, In the end your final response was that you and you staff lacked the time to load a standard benchmark dataset and run it. Is your time still scarce or are you interested in some objective comparisons that traders may find of value in making software purchase decisions? Best Regards...
  6. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    Jack, Next time you speak with Carl bring it up. In corporate data mining, which is where I’m from (banking and financial services) there are all kinds of standard data sets used to compare and calibrate the effectiveness of both software applications and analytical strategies. CMU and...
  7. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    Jack, Funny Carl said the exact same thing to me by phone "two equities/futures-oriented products Carl offers, Profit and Dakota, are not Carl's main business." as the reason he didn't want the product objectively evaluated. Are you a BioCOmp employee? Jerry
  8. J

    BioComp Dakota with Swamp Technology

    I was a BioComp user for over a decade but abandoned it some years ago for serious trading. It's probably no better or worse than other tools like NeuroShell that are marketed to traders who have little in the way of data mining skills or training, which isn’t saying much. A few years ago I...
  9. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    Doubt you could tell the difference between one and your penis. Go back to junior high.
  10. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    To your points: 1) While I'm not familiar with it BrainMaker appears to be a low end product at a few hundred dollars. Expect to spend $10,000 to $50,000 for a corporate grade industrial strength application. 2) Agreed, 5 years of experience gives one the ability to know what to do. Many...
  11. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    Based on the above I'd ask the following questions: 1) What NN package were you using? The stuff marketed to the trading community is junk for the most part (NeuroShell, Bioscopy, NuroDimensions, etc). What you want to use is a general purpose corporate modeling applications. These are used...
  12. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    Indrionas, As any good Quantum physicist would tell you, what the observer sees is dependant on their point of view and the instruments they use in observation. Look at a rock in you hand and it appear solid. View it at a magnification approaching the Plank length and it is 99.999999% empty...
  13. J

    Use random walk to make $$$

    If that is true then what do you think the theoritical limit is on the ratio between wins and losses in say 1000 trades either in points or trade count?
  14. J

    Use random walk to make $$$

    A much simpler test would be to see if there are any outliers in the net profitability of all traders in the market. Those with a profitability of more than 3 to 5 STDEV from the mean would indicate that somebody knows something most people don't. Anyone know some programmers in charge of...
  15. J

    Use random walk to make $$$

    Lack of knowledge of an event does not prove that it did not happen. If anyone made a billion dollars from a defined method or process that could be used by others would you: 1) Except them to announce or share it? 2) Announce it on ET of all locations? If you or anyone does then I've...
  16. J

    Use random walk to make $$$

    You may want to look at Complexity Theory to understand how the market alternates between random and non-random behaviour.... and then plan your trading on that basis. Various measure like the Hurst Coefficient are useful in this process.
  17. J

    Does science make belief in God obsolete?

    No, just picking a "god" at random...how about Isis be praised. They are all just cultural mythos, including the White guy on the cloud with the long beard.
  18. J

    Does science make belief in God obsolete?

    Amen, praise Odin
  19. J

    Does science make belief in God obsolete?

    And tuna fish have kittens...babble, muble, boobie
  20. J

    Does science make belief in God obsolete?

    OK, why not stop over to my house and do a little "ascending". I'd love to get some pictures. There is a nice park by the freeway....you'd get a good audience. Say in about 30 minutes? Being divine of course I don't need to bother telling you where I am...right? You know already.
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