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    why this board isn't healthy if you trade for a living

    I have to admit that I don't really understand Einsteins relativity theory (although I studied Physics PHD, shame on me) nor do I have the slightest idea what the superstring theory is for. But nethertheless I would never say that (because I don't understand it) its impossible for very smart...
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    Global Warming Commitee Nod

    you are to late by 2 years my friend. People like Al Gore have already filled their pockets. Global Warming hysterica and the connected mafia will soon be replaced by another world end theory. This will be helped by a slight cooling prozess of the sun (the current solar cycle seems to develop...
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    why this board isn't healthy if you trade for a living

    this is the typical blabla talk from books like "trading in the zone" that might indeed be a very good suggestion for 98% of all traders here. Totaly agreed ! But would you also agree that you throw away an important part of information if you trade this way ? That is to watch the market...
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    Short DAX at 7740

    when I posted that Dax was trading at 4720, thats a 7% gain. But I already understand that only "facts" that confirm the bearish stance here is this board like to be heard. Goldberg has another nice word for this behaviour, that is "cognitive dissonance". Filtering out everything that does...
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    Short DAX at 7740

    just for the records: Goldberg was right again.
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    Short DAX at 7740

    I am flat Dax. Was worth a try but to me it looks like it can go up more (bullish, flat consolidation near high). Also weak Dollar and long weekend (seasonable bullish) supporting another rally today in USA. Gold also looks interesting right now, got long on re-break 930. Euro could...
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    Short DAX at 7740

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/top-timing-newsletters-on-balance-are-bullish interesting.
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    Short DAX at 7740

    the main reason was to many people on the wrong side (short). Its sometimes that simple... Just take a look here how many people where short biased.
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    Short DAX at 7740

    I am short FDax, lets see. The panic spike above 5000 with large volume was impressive, looks like a lot of shorts gave up at that point. At least the inverted Hammer is worth a try.
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    Short DAX at 7740

    possible is anything but I am 95% sure we have already established the low for this year. This upmove is obviously just more than what bears would like to believe and the best case for bears is some range trading the next months. Of course Dax 4500 is in this case very likely again.
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    Short DAX at 7740

    have you traded the idiotic move beginning of 2000 ? Oh man I got so burned, believe me. This move in Tech stocks was by far more irational then the move we are seeing now and it healed me for ever. Never ever trade against a move just because YOU think its irational (or even worse, driven...
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    Short DAX at 7740

    the real numbers have absolut no influence for Dax because stock market deals with expectations (sentiment part of the index) only. A good friend of mine produces electronic prints for Automotive industrie with companies in Germany and Tailand and while he also said current situation is as bad...
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    Soak the Rich, Lose the Rich

    Hi folks, if you think you have high taxes, please come over to Germany ! I pay around 50% total tax on my income, believe it or not. James Mirrlees got a nobel price for finding out that it is the best to not tax the most productive people at all. This is hardly possible so he said that...
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    Howard Davidowitz: "The Worst Is Yet to Come"......and its so true!!!!

    I liked the interview. At least it was not boring. But again the question remains not answered if the current developement (bailouts to everyone) is really so bad for the stockmarket as long as the FED also plans to keep long term interest rates down by buying into long term dept (blewing up...
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    Are tales of China's recovery mostly hot air?

    so true. All what you said is 100% correct. I always wonder if the people who think China (or even vietnam) is communistic have ever been in these countries. We tend to think that our democracy (or what is left of it) is the best of all forms but I am not sure this applies to all nations. I...
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    Are tales of China's recovery mostly hot air?

    its 23%. And even if exports to USA fall by 10% (2% drop of the total exports) that does not mean end of the world for China if they manage to create demand from their own citizens. As I said there is still 700% groth possible until they reach our levels. Of course they have to adopt to the...
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    Are tales of China's recovery mostly hot air?

    my business is quite special and maybe not very represantative but my sales volume with china the last 2 years has by far offset the reduction in other countries I deal with. I am travelling there a lot and you can throw around with numbers and everything but I think you get another perspective...
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    Are tales of China's recovery mostly hot air?

    2 important things to consider are that China is sitting on 2 trillion dollars reserves which they can spend on the recovery. Second is that the GDP per capita is still 7 times less than in USA or Germany. So the amount of growth that can and will be made during the next decades is still...
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    Short DAX at 7740

    maybe you have an asymmetric exit strategy. You have to work on that. Maybe if the news event is on your side you will cover after you got 10 points and if it runs against you are not reacting fast enough but just watching until the pain gets to big. If you don't use stops it is crucial to exit...
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    Short DAX at 7740

    you have to think the following way: If there is some move in Dax that denies logic (Dax going up without "reason" or breaking down hard although ES holding up) most people think it will get logic again and bet against this move. But its nearly always better to get in the direction of this move...
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