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No, I didn't say that. I will evaluate a few predictions first. I may subscribe. Thanks for the link. However, I noticed something curious. They calculate the accuracy of their prediction based on the stock price value vs predicted value and not based on the predicted change from previous...

Stock-forecasting.com has a free predictor. It predicts for DIA OCLH for today the following: 132.00 131.89 131.48 132.18 +0.36% Let's see. Too good to be true. Easy to evaluate this software but I'm afraid it is pure linear regression or curve fitting. I prefer data mining which is...

infolode, can you explain this a little more? Is the blue line the prediction of the NN? Is the blue line shifted forward? It does not appear so. Ron

Then why do you think he speaks loudly about his next move? Is he a philanthropist you think? Ron

No, it's not the same as leverage. One thing you may be overlooking is that we cannot stop China from growing and exporting or we will have a war. Also, another thing that Sen. Paul and you seem not to understand is that the imported products you think are more expensive now because of...

Just before they sell assets they need to attract liquidity. It's standard procedure. Quite possible Jim Rogers will be buying dollars after that. Ron

Good posts. I have heard stories of closed profitable positions getting cancelled by brokers because they claim they violated agreements and placed during low liquidity markets. Any good ECN brokers out there? Any suggestions? I think mine is a bucket shop too:) Ron

In principle I agree. You may find this article interesting: http://www.fee.org/publications/the-freeman/article.asp?aid=6215 It is hard to know where politics end and economics start. But Jim Rogers is another manager whose success rate in making predictions is not better than an...

Yes, but that says nothing, These formations could serve as either reversal or continuation patterns. Ron

Alex, have you looked at Tradestation? I think it can do the job. Ron

Thanks for the link. It seems that Bennett's performance this year has been very poor and he is trying to panic small investors in Baltic stock markets. If those markets fall now, he can buy cheap and then wait for the devaluation. If there is a currency devaluation those markets will...

1. Yes 2. "Neural system" is another term for curve fitting when it applies to market data. The biggest problem is overtraning. Ron

Hmmm... 1/3 winners? Do you mean a success rate of 33.33%? That really says nothing. You need to specify the profit factor of your trading method and also the ratio of average win to average loss. P = success rate: PF = profit factor R = average win to average loss The above...

This is true only in underdeveloped countries. You cannot fool economists in developed countries by inflating money and calling it growth. Actually this is true only in the case of the 5% who control 95% of wealth. The rest may benefit from inflation. You could say that, I agree... Ron

The European Union made a big mistake to admit 15 former East European nations for membership. What you say is true. European governments attempt to hide their corruption and inability to do reforms by propagandizing against America and creating antiamericanism as an antidote to their...

Positive and negative, or good and bad are the two sides of the same coin. I suggest never try to isolate them. You cannot have one without the other, it just depends on the point of view or perspective. Having said that, inflation is the worse enemy of capital as money loses its purchasing...

Good points, I agree, the primary objective of the European Union Monetary Policy is known as "Zero Inflation". It is designed to protect the purchasing power of European riches while preventing any redistribution of wealth through inflation. You may or may not know that inflation is the most...

Hi Richard, The average number of days when the system followed a trend was anywhere from 25 up to 120 or even more. I remember I closed my first trade after 3 months. Losing trades lasted a week or two. I now trade Forex instead of currency futures and I take advantage of the higher...

I had the same problem with the forex demo. I could not close just one specific position, if I recall it was a GBP.EUR long position. I gave up with the demo then and decided to allocate some real money for learning using TWS. This is the best way to do it. I think IB is a great broker...

Interesting question and difficult problem at the same time. I tried something like that 15 years ago with currency futures. It worked well the first two years and I doubled my account. Then, suddenly this method stopped working and I was faced with a huge drawdown. I was very curious why...