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  1. M

    Continuation Probabilities

    The problem here is we're trying to calculate probabilities of a certain event happening after most of the event has already occurred. Let me give an example. Let's say that we did a historical study and found that the market closed up just as many times as it closed down. I know that's not...
  2. M

    Continuation Probabilities

    I'm seeing some probability errors here. If I flip a two sided coin 5 times, and it lands on heads all five times, the odds of it landing heads the sixth time is still 50-50. The odds don't change simply because of past events. I believe this is called the gambler's fallacy? Similarly, if the...
  3. M

    TrendFund.com

    I think one of the best ways to use Trendfund is to ignore the daytrading and pay attention to the longer term picks. I've checked over past recommendations by Waxie, and he certainly has a knack for picking stocks that are getting ready to explode over the next day(s) to week(s). When you do...
  4. M

    Level 2 Rookie

    It's true, tenths of a cent can add up. I just can't imagine making any kind of trading decision based on whether something's trading at 32.152 vs. 32.157. I mean, would you actually change your mind about whether to buy a stock because it's a half cent more or less than what's showing on level...
  5. M

    Mercenary

    So far I'm seeing nothing impressive. I'm checking several stocks at 10:30, noting them only if Sniper is almost all red or blue, and checking charts later in the day. Very much hit or miss. I'll probably do this a few more days, but it doesn't look good so far.
  6. M

    RediPlus

    Have you actually tried Redi Plus? I've used it remotely, and there is some kind of delay I haven't experienced with other trading platforms. If the program is being tempermental, it can take several seconds to load a stock, sometimes the program freezes, sometimes all the level 2 boxes lose all...
  7. M

    Auto Power Shut off for Monitors/Win NT

    This is an old thread, and it got a little off subject...anyway, the original post was about how to automatically shut off your monitors if you're going to leave for a few hours, and don't want to constantly turn the monitor buttons on and off all the time. (On Windows NT) Anyway, if you go to...
  8. M

    Posts to Individuals

    I was wondering if it would be possible to leave a message that someone is replying specifically to you in a thread. For example, let's say someone sees a post of mine and wishes to reply to me specifically. If I don't have time to read through all the posts on every single thread, I may not see...
  9. M

    Mercenary

    See if you can bully their tech guys around a little bit. I tend to be a bit passive when dealing with people on the phone. There's gotta be someone there who knows how to use it. I'll try them again too.
  10. M

    Mercenary

    I'm in the middle of a trial right now. If anyone else tries it, keep these points in mind. 1) I originally thought that the point of the program was to pick out stocks that were experiencing a buy or sell imbalance in the very short term--say over the period of a few minutes--so that you...
  11. M

    Intraday Indicators

    "I can make money with a random system." I remember reading this same thing in your father's book. This never made sense to me. If the market (or a system for trading the market) is random, how can you have a positive expectancy?
  12. M

    IB New Commission Rates (Lower!)

    Actually 600 shares would be $5.50. It's still a penny per share for the first 500 shares.
  13. M

    ideal broker

    Cdntrader Just about every broker charges for ECN fees.
  14. M

    HOLD BROTHERS

    My account should be open 6/1. I'll probably need a week to get used to the software and to know how good it is. If I don't update by 6/8 remind me.
  15. M

    ideal broker

    I'll reply on the Hold Brothers thread. I don't want to get off topic.
  16. M

    ideal broker

    http://www.mytrack.com/daytrader Add to the list of daytrading brokers offering a per share fee ($4 min, $15 max)
  17. M

    eSignal and Symbol Limits

    The problem I am running into now has to do with layouts. I have 3 different layouts, based on the time of day. When I go from one layout to the next, the system seems to think I still have the former layout still open, and it counts the symbols from both layouts in my symbol limit. There is no...
  18. M

    IB New Commission Rates (Lower!)

    Starting June 1, still $.01/shr up to 500 shares, but only $.005/shr for each share after 500 in the same order. http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/010517/cgth056.html
  19. M

    BROKER INFO

    I had a feeling that's what you meant. Offhand I don't know which brokers offer trading in foreign countries. I do know that http://www.directaccesstrader.com offers trading in Europe. I've actually used their software here in the U.S. Unfortunately, I got disconnected a couple of times per...
  20. M

    BROKER INFO

    If you're only doing a trade or two every week, I would think direct access software would kill your profits. Have you looked into Interactive Brokers? I'm not sure whether they offer trading in your country.
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