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I think there is another point that is not looked at correctly. Higher higher and lower low, pre-suppose that one decided on a time frame for each bar,and a time frame for the trading. Therefore the other question that is left is the time-frame? How do you decide on it? I think this is the...

Writing that you are right does not make you right. I can prove my statement mathematically. Can you at least give a counter example? Work an example, and you should be able to see that I am right.

What makes you think that Miss or Mrs does not apply?

Spydertrader: Do you trade? If yes, are you a profitable trader?

Do you realize that the what you are saying can be done with the 100 day moving average alone. The 200 adds NO information at all. What you said can be alternatively said as follows: the 100 MA is higher than what it was 100 days ago, and it is higher than 35% compared to what it was 100 days...

Sorry what I am about to write may hurt, but please read it slowly and think about it. If only 90% lose that is actually an excellent number . My own guess was/is that only 1% (or a smaller number in that area) may make money. If the stock does not pay dividend, over a large enough period of...

What you posted explains correlation. As I wrote above, that is correct. It is rather your explanation of the phenomenon that is flawed. Do you understand the difference between causality and correlation? If there is causality, there is correlation. But correlation does not always lead to...

Your explanation of who leads is inconsistent. That is one of the flaws in your assumptions/reasoning. Who then leads: the stock market or the yen, if there is a leader in the first place?

Hi, I have currently a position where I am short a 30 years fixed annuity (think of it as when you have a mortgage. You can also think of it as short 30 year bond for the purpose of this question). Cash flow (out) is in the order of $2200, and the current balance is 360000. My position has...

This is evidence that some people get it.

This relates to comments I made earlier in this thread, that is I focus on QQQQ and IWM, where option Bid/Ask spreads are generally small. Therefore the issues of SMART/etc are less of an issue, and I like IB when trading options on these underlyings.

The observation about the correlation of yen to equity markets is correct, but the above reasoning/explanation is flawed.

Already issued stocks do not create any wealth. The market can be used as a source of finance to start new companies. That is the main strength of the market. Saying that keeping the market up will make people prosper is an illusion. You need production to create wealth, otherwise a ponzi scheme...

It is a good thing that Google includes some statements about offensive words. If it is not generalized to all offensive words, then Google should generalize it.

I do not think you understood my point. I am not looking for guarantees, I am looking for trading rules. When do you enter, when do you exit/stop? Provide the rules. Also, if someone enter a position in phase 2 thinking that phase 2 is still going strong when in fact prices are at the beginning...

But there are problems with this. First the 3rd phase may lead to losses. The most important problem though is that in hindsight, this looks good. But what guarantees that when we are before phase 1, that there will be a phase 1, then a phase 2 and then a phase 3. In addition how to separate the...

You! :D For seriously now. I will think about your question. I guess what you have in mind is rising prices, but the last phase is not really rising prices as they would retreat towards the moving average and possibly go below it.

Hey how are you doing man? I remember exchanging with you those PM in the middle of the night. Did any of what we talked about helped/not helped? Glad you are doing well. What leverage having been using? I mean the size you open divided by the cash in account (not the broker leverage)...

If you find them obvious you must see something I do not see as obvious. What's the obvious if I may ask. Thanks.

David (G. Downey): I just want to say that I very much like your products and many of the remarks you have been making. I think that your products will become even more important if and when the volume increases and bid/ask spreads go down even further. Even in the current condition, I think...