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  1. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    By the way, the previous post will save you a lot of money. Read my post on linear regression channels to learn how to see the change much earlier than the return to the early morning high. I can look at the plain chart I posted and picture immediately in my mind where the upper channel was...
  2. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I cannot begin to tell you how much money the above analysis has saved me over the last few years since I started to consistently trade semi-professionally. You can write this down and post it in your list of important things to do when trading the ZN. Keep in mind that this applies to the...
  3. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Thanks zbtrader. I'm just browsing news sites right now with a very small quote window open on the ZN no trades yet, and I just don't like the look of it to short it now at 1103 EST. When I can't figure out why we bounced up roughly 1/2 point from today's low, that means I don't understand the...
  4. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Just got back in after being out for a few hours. Today is a no news day and I wasn't going to trade. Had I been trading I would have bought and sold a range. Right now (1029 EST) I see the 10 year is up to almost reach its 0825 EST high. Any news that I missed? I was going to take...
  5. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    So, when all is said and done, even with the mistakes, here is my performance for the day. I'm not going to say I always do this well, however, I do shoot for performing this well everyday.
  6. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    So there is no confusion, the first trade group was from 0834 - 0850 on the chart. The second trade goup is from 0905 - 0910 on the chart. The third and final trade group is from 0929 to 0949.
  7. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Here is my chart for the day so far. The trade of the day was my first short, after the 0830 EST report. This trade is one of my bread and butter trades. The trades are a bit jumbled together around 0840. The reason for that is I was holding a single short from the 0837 trade. When I...
  8. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Your 0925 CST is close enough to my 1033 EST, and it now looks like we might set up for some action around that time. Keep in mind that I can't say if I'll buy or sell because it all depends on price action at that time. A guess would be that I would be buying a dip though.
  9. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    1008 EST I think we go higher for awhile. My times are: 1033 1049 1109 I'm having one of my best days ever. If I can clean the chart and performance of all personal info, I'll post it here.
  10. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    0955 EST I had a sell order in the ZN at 115 205 and it did not get filled. I go short at 115 185 and 115 119 and I come on here to post that I'm looking for 115 12 to 115 08 at a minimum. As I'm posting my spidey sense starts to tingle, a little voice says to me, "You know, whenever you...
  11. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    1305 EST In case you're watching the chart live, I never take the same no sweat trade twice in a row with the same size. The second time around they are playing with you. I say this because we are back up to 117 080 again after that sweet short ride down to 116 310.
  12. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    1303 EST Darn, posting here and I miss the 117 080 short at 1301 EST.... I was even thinking about setting it up in Ninja Trader but decided a break was in order. That was probably the no-brainer, no sweat at all, trade of the day.
  13. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Yeah, 117 175 was close enough to my 117 160 pivot to start going long at 117 190 to 117 200. Nice bread and butter trade for me. I only look to net 3 - 6 ticks on a trade. 117 225 was an excellent conservative short. I assume you did it sometime between 1100 and 1140 EST. Between MP...
  14. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I've seen this so many times that I've completely given up on volume with one exception. If we are having a spike move up or down in the ZN, I notice that time after time a huge volume spike is an indicator that the move has fizzled out. I don't use it to reverse, I use it simply to lock in...
  15. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I would love to buy now at 117 220 which I'm showing as the MP POC. However, my fairly strong pivots show a possible low of 117 160 which is too far away at the moment for this weak action we've had since 1000 hrs EST.
  16. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I would bracket the day around: 118 040 and 117 160
  17. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    Very treacherous market to be in as others have observerd. It seems we sold off a little too much just prior to the 1000 hrs report and the reaction at 1000 hrs was minimal at best, i.e no further selling but not much buying either. My best guess is one test of the highs before the day is...
  18. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    I never did get around to loading the chart for the above day. Pretty uncanny isn't it?
  19. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    0850 EST Looking to exit everything between 119 140 and 119 160 just to be safe. Too close to 0900 EST. Done posting for the day. Good trading.
  20. J

    Anybody else short US 30 Bond

    0841 EST Here is a JPEG of the what the chart looked like and what happened at 0741. This is pretty much my bread and butter trade of the day. Look for an ideal time to trade, and call it a day. The short was an easy net of 3 ticks and the long, well that remains to be seen.
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