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https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/build-the-wall.311302/page-3#post-4487181 You should self-commit to an asylum.

You're too stupid to act in your own self interest. Gotta love the irony.

81%. And you conveniently ignore that the predictit final figure EXACTLY predicted the EC-outcome. Morons. Both parties have them. Vote for your boy Kennedy!

BSM = shit. Couldn't calc the 6M forward in his lifetime but he knows it's shit.

You want to revisit the above? I wasn't aware she ran in 2020. RIF.

You were broke 4 months ago. Apparently won the pick four. He's a troll.

PredictIt's betting was perfection in 2020. And they were at 81% in 2016 on the day before the election. Why don't you quote Dewey and Truman's odds?

Cool story, Bro. IIRC the FBI Director had something to say. Vote for Trump or Kennedy.

lol that's clearly Feb to May data. RIF.

He asked to see your vol-model. You stated you don't have one. I stated that you walked it all back. Too easy.

And... you're FOS. "On PredictIt, another popular political betting site, Biden was trading at similar odds on Tuesday (63¢), while Trump traded at 39¢." Obviously the spreads resulted in >100. That was late July 2020 with Trump as incumbent. In Nov the spread was 57/43 in line with the...

They just handed AZ to Biden.

Vigor. And this was six years ago.

The point is that you wouldn't know what is legit and what is BS. Your "research" into the field should not be wasted on models when you fail at a basic understanding of the product.

I think getting picked off by the customer would more than likely involve inside info. It's good to be the MMer (DNT client).

OTC and customer is known.

He walked all of that back.

How would you know?

You made a point to humblebrag about your classical ed. I'd probably leave that out next time.