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You're confusing quantative investing with value investing. Value investing is about looking for stocks with a wide safety margin. This margin is provided by the market by offering a security at a discount to its intrinsic value.

This will surely kill demand for T-bills...

Emperor Club website is now offline but the rates can still be fished from a google cage.

No kidding, instead of looking at this as a way to create a fortune these pikers get hostile about their turf.

Talking long-run, it's important to remember that an economy's merit is ultimately based on the ability of a nation to organise and educate, so that it may prosper. There is a reason that the United States grew out to be the greatest success story in human history and I am positive that I do...

The core of the issue is that the United States has a currency whos value is based on nothing but a pledge of production, yet is tied to an economy that is based consumption. Increasing the money supply and cutting interest rates will not resolve this issue. The resulting inflation will have an...

There's been an increase in reporting about stagflation between jan 2004 and dec 2007: http://news.google.com/archivesearch?q=stagflation&scoring=t&hl=en&ned=us&sa=N&sugg=d&as_ldate=2004&as_hdate=2007&lnav= There are still only 7,991 recent news items containing the word "stagflation"...

The market is starting to emphasize inflation. You can already see this priced into the hefty premiums that sellers in the TIPS market demand. It's only a matter of time before it starts to weigh on the prices of stocks. Right now the stock market is still being fueled by a declining dollar...

In order to speculate on uranium it's smarter to buy the future that's traded on NYMEX. There's less downside risk from project delays and overspending for which the nuclear industry is notorious.

A neutral bias is a major contributor to profitable trading and should be maintained independant of a person's whereabouts. While making this statement, I realize that it requires an effort to maintain a neutral bias. It's rather easy to get swept up in a gulf of sentiment and I often feel the...

Long EMKR @ 12.49 Set an alert @ 11.70 Price moving up on increasing volume. Anticipating a breakout of the downtrend. Will reverse and short if it fails.

Chart for February 19 2008. Includes trades.

Has there actually been a Norwegian village that got into financial peoblems because of subprime investments? Of so, could someone link me to the news item?

I was never under the impression that the financial industry is labour intensive, yet what UBS has here is a essentially a gigantic production line. According to wikipedia UBS officials have boasted that you can turn around a 747 jet in that hall. Well, you could probably manufacture a 747 in...

It seems like they already tried to model their trading floor after a bee hive, so why don't they just completely automate their strategies?

As of the close of the last bar: 1) The current mode would be short, though I would have taken my exit when the IF2 triggered. 2) I would look at the YM in order to see if it shows increasing volume. If it does, I would expect the downtrend to continue. If it doesn't, I would expect a...

Thanks to all of you for your thoughtful answers! To spice the discussion I would like to add another possible outcome. In this outcome, the bar we thought was an FTT turned out to be a HVS. The next bar signals change, a continuation for our down channel. The tricky part here is that due to...

I wonder if Goldman was also hired by Hugo Chavez.

I illustrated the situation:

Hypothetical situation: The market is in a downtrend with multuple volatility extensions. The previous bar came a after a retrace of the down channel and is showing lower red volume. We are 2 minutes into the current bar. The bar shows increasing pro rata volume and failed to traverse the...