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  1. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Just saw 4 trillion in financing programs for businesses now. Damn, if you throw enough $ out there, it may stick.
  2. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    We have too many assumptions based on fear. Let's use some numbers for analysis. We saw that China lockdown was 1 month. Let's assume 3 months for the US because we're not as good as the Chinese. If unemployment is 30 millions-to throw out some big numbers-the cost is $180B for unemployment...
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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Well, before the official markets are trading, this is just like a betting site...with 50 pts spread. Wow!
  4. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Small group of people trading CFDs. So, may not be accurate. Funny thing is it said 57% of clients are long...
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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Is this accurate when markets open on sunday?
  6. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Definitely did not call a bottom here. In fact I said it does not look like bottom is in. But I am more interested in day to day analysis for trading purposes.
  7. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    There was confirmed liquidation at CME last Friday...during RTH. There's a thread on Ronin Capital as well.
  8. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Friday close with the forced liquidation makes it harder to read. Although, it does not look like bottom is in yet. The potential 2 trillion dollar package in the work, roughly 10% of GDP or around 1 month if economy fully shutdown, may negate the effect of 1 month lockdown. So far, we can...
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    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Plus 1 for new journal.
  10. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Well, it's witching hours, so this is expected. The price action is all over the place today. Hmm, take down Monday or rally...
  11. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Note to self to take profits early and wait for the shake first next time. Although, I am still up for the day, but left alot on the table that I could have played it both ways. Edit: looks like a massive change in trend the last two hours.
  12. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Wow, that took out alot of stops. Right on the play, wrong on the timing and magnitude of the shake.
  13. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Moment of truth. If I am right about today, then, rally from here above 2400.
  14. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    EOD today is a hint of playbook for next week.
  15. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Easy quota with VIX trades. I just exited some ES and move to VIX.
  16. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Probably next week, but the witches like 2400 too much today.
  17. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Dang, missed the long exit near 2450. Again!
  18. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Agreed. Not for someone new to trading. Even the pros have second thoughts trading it.
  19. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    Basically, the market either go up, down or flat. You just need to eliminate the down move...a big down move.
  20. N

    ES Journal - 2019/2020

    You lose money trading anything if you are wrong. The probability is higher if you know how to trade it. Although, just be careful in this market. You can lose big with quick, huge moves down.
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