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  1. ogarbitrage

    Fuel Hedging using CL Call Options

    I tried to bring up this point pages ago. OP never answered.
  2. ogarbitrage

    NG Basis Trading - Broker Recommendation

    Can you trade in the OTC markets? If not then ICE is the way to go.
  3. ogarbitrage

    Crude Calendar Spread Question

    Moves like this based on a live bid/ask of each leg would not happen. If the spread is -54/-53 and the spread is offered -55 on legs then it would be arb'd immediately. Moving 5-7 cents beyond the exchange supported spread does not happen.
  4. ogarbitrage

    May Crude spike at 8:55am CT?

    Just got this from the floor: IRANIAN OIL EXPORTS EXPECTED TO DROP BY 300,000 BARRELS PER DAY IN MARCH, FIRST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FOLLOWING TIGHTER SANCTIONS - INDUSTRY SOURCES Not verified.
  5. ogarbitrage

    What Happened to MF Global?

    Are you saying that's common practice or "c'mon"? And it's not as if every one of the thousands of MFG employees had their hands dirty in this mess. The risk team, from what I've been told by former MFG employees, were the ones who stayed on to aid the executor in the wind down process.
  6. ogarbitrage

    What Happened to MF Global?

    That's great. I can't speak to UK clients. However, I can speak to the US clients I have been in touch with, and they have all received 65-70% of their money back.
  7. ogarbitrage

    What Happened to MF Global?

    Customers got about 70% of their money back from those I have spoken to. And the bonuses were retention payments to keep staff on during the unwind process.
  8. ogarbitrage

    natural gas full carry charge?

    +1 Oct/Nov, Oct/Jan, Nov/Jan, etc. all trading over full carry.
  9. ogarbitrage

    Did Altucher fail as a trader?

    I'm sure the riff raff will love that. Be sure to mention you're BFF w/ SAC and reiterate that all hedge funds trade w/ inside info.
  10. ogarbitrage

    Did Altucher fail as a trader?

    I think he's swinging his own nuts because he knows Cohen. Of the few posts I've read of him, each seems to mention his relationship w/ SAC.
  11. ogarbitrage

    Gasoline curve

    Trad, a better look at the RB curve:
  12. ogarbitrage

    Gasoline curve

    I don't think so. But to echo marketowl, I think the WTI energy complex has been off kilter since the WTI/BRT decoupling.
  13. ogarbitrage

    Gasoline curve

    For the sake of discussion, here (right chart) are the current curves for CL, RB, and HO out to F13. The 321 Crack spread chart on the left is the 321 crack curve with a 1-month processing time.
  14. ogarbitrage

    hedging a...... pairs trade

    Tight stops.
  15. ogarbitrage

    Does this Certifies Hedge Fund Certification certificate hold any sway?

    Yes, get the CHP and all these things will be delivered unto you.
  16. ogarbitrage

    End of day Crude Oil Historical Data

    Haven't been able to send anything. Rolling over our software and currently w/out access to the closing data. Will try to upload when that changes.
  17. ogarbitrage

    Natural Gas

    So much gas they have to re-export it.
  18. ogarbitrage

    Natural Gas

    Because there is so much supply, there is really a limit to what kind of supply-based price shock we could experience at Henry Hub. Most price shocks going forward in NG markets will more than likely originate at basis locations and those will be caused by capacity/logistical constraints...
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