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Hey, I appreciate and thank all who have advice to offer. so my problem is this: I can pick stocks that go up. no problem. We are in a bull market, so that might be the reason. I've had GRPN, BBRY, TZA swings, TD, BBD.B etc. The problem is, whenever I decide to buy, the stock always tends to...

you well if theoretical value was 1.00 at this time, im sure i couldve got maybe 65/70 which is double the return % no?

So, due to my stupidity and impulsive personality, I moved to quickly to close a trade. I miscalculated my actual return and ended up closing the trade at much less than it was worth. I entered the 103/104 Call debit spread Nov 28 Alibaba. Initially I calculated a 70% return. Boy was I wrong...

Sorry, I stand corrected. i entered the trade on nov 3 after close. The trade executed on nov 4 at approximately 9:30.

ill confirm, but im 90% sure i put in the order monday night. nov 3.

they were nov 28. i put the order in on nov 3.

well if youre okay owning it, i dont see the problem. especially if its a dividend paying stock thats stable i.e td,bmo, etc

no im referring to nov 28 103

1$. tza is a bad ezample because its not dividend paying

it was a chart on my account platform. i just find it odd.

can you explain what yoy mean by expected profit? my commissions are $1

i may sound stupid with this post, but w.e. i made up this strategy. if it sounds stupif, thats fine, i just want to improve on it. to me it makes sense, the 1:1.75 rosk/reward of debit is possible, i put on a debit spread last week 101/100 for a debit of 37. i ended up closing it at a 36%...

no not modeled pricing. i put on as a spread with a net debit of 37. when i looked at each individual leg after the trade went through, the cost basis of of the long leg said it was 2.28 and the short leg was 1.91ish. after looking at the charts for the historical prices of the long leg, at no...

any thoughts on this would be great -weekly debit spreads where risk/reward 1:1.75, enter on limit orders held to expiration or 70% of max profit -sell bullput on dividend stocks you wouldnt mind owning, only after a pull back of some sort to price point is where dividend =3.5+% annually. sell...

are you still profitable? usually people make money in a bull market right? my big thing is i cut my winners too soon too, but i dont know what a good exit is.

I agree that there are different variables in the market compared to blackjack, but if you're under the belief that option prices and stock prices are normally distributed, then you need to act according to that belief no? How do you go about selecting trades?

anyone taking a 6 month 115/120 call spread for 1.2-1.3? from my calc, theres a 0.4 chance of success

- Should have recalculated. profit. actual spread contract worth 1.00. should have sold between 65-75 - shouldve considered rolling upper strike for reduced loss and selling the 103 strike for an insane profit!

agree with 2 and 3, ha, man my 103 was well set. feel like i shouldce rolled that 104 call forward.

this just sounds like pure luck to me....not that you can plan this.