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  1. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    submitted for your amusement: Evening of Thursday, December 5, 1996. Greenspan delivered his famous "irrational exuburence" speech. the great time machine marches backwards The price range that week for the S&P 500 cash was 761.75 High 726.89 Low
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    Indicators are liars! Support and Resistance Trading for the S&P emini

    measured move (24hour) based on recent swings in 240 minute chart would be ES print 808 based on RTH would be 820
  3. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Pholeuon, see attached chart for what (I think) ammo was describing. ammo, if I'm wrong on this please correct me.
  4. V

    What's the highest VIX you've ever seen?

    ABSOLUTELY. The high print for the VIX(based on S&P 500 options volatility) is the highest it has ever been, but understand, it was not calculated prior to jan of 1990. It was not calculated for the 87 crash.
  5. V

    What's the highest VIX you've ever seen?

    It was September 19 of 2003 that the current form of VIX (referencing S&P 500 options data) went LIVE. I took a quick look back over the current VIX, and based on the limited data back to 1990, current reading is record, but of course, since there is no 1987 reading for the current VIX, you...
  6. V

    What's the highest VIX you've ever seen?

    Here is a snapshot of the way the two volatility measures looked at the bottom of the selling in the wake of the 9/11/2001 resumption of trade (first week after re-opening, markets sold off hard). One of the things Goldman did in their revised method of calculating VIX (for S&P 500) was...
  7. V

    What's the highest VIX you've ever seen?

    depends on what you look at historically. problem is, VIX calculation was changed in either 2002 or 2003. Originally, VIX was based on volatility in OEX (S&P 100 options) because S&P did not want to license the 500 for options. Eventually, desire for revenue caused S&P to license the...
  8. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    eat me
  9. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    CNBC reporting that Fed has established a commercial paper lending venue
  10. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    entire data back to 1978, that was the first year that the NYSE started calculating new lows on a rolling 52 week basis, before 1978, new lows were calculated back to the beginning of the previous year until April (I think), and then the calc was changed to the current year. So you ended up...
  11. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Yesterday, NYSE new lows divided by Total issues traded were 59.8% I believe this is unprecedented based on data since 1978 ( I stopped compiling this data in 2005 (when I quit my New York job). The rule I had uncovered was simple, buy the close on any day when the NYSE new Lows divided by...
  12. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    It used to be that this thread would be filled with people trying to pick bottoms on a day like this. I already paid that tuition bill (although I do occassionally go for a refresher course) but NOT today. If we are down big today (and close at/near the lows), the old pattern used to be a...
  13. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    look at USDJPY
  14. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    newguy, after Monday's fiasco, house is going to make sure they have everything in the bill that will get enough people to vote for it. They will take their time. and if it doesn't get voted on tomorrow they will claim that it can't be rushed.
  15. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    dragon is bullish or bearish (upside down) (although I do not really see what pekelo is seeing) dragon formation site: http://www.trading-naked.com/JerrysDragonPattern.htm
  16. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    senate vote will pass. because only 1/3 of the senators are up for re-election. saw analyst on TV, he said, the biggest reason the house vote did not pass is because representatives in close races could not afford to get voters upset so close to election.
  17. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    50% retracement of this week's H and L is 1166.63 (ES)
  18. V

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    dollar weakness versus deutsche mark was also a factor in 87. right now, dollar seems to be strengthening, not weakening.
  19. V

    Indicators are liars! Support and Resistance Trading for the S&P emini

    there is lower bid and ask. Can't this be attributed to the lack of full hedging as financials not shortable.
  20. V

    Indicators are liars! Support and Resistance Trading for the S&P emini

    thanks for explanation. what charting package can capture these numbers?
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