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Last time in 2016 VIX began moving 10 days before election day and actually peaked 2 days before, on Nov 4th (Friday). Some of uncertainty evaporated during the weekend. That was a move of 9,5 points from a base of 13. Now base is at 25 and it started moving a week earlier. If it increases by...

6 consecutive up days in VIX. Are we in for a spike again?

ES: My target low for Wednesday is 3390 +/-5

Target reached. Let's try again, my target for tuesday: ES daily high = 3455 +/-5

M. Gladwell states that “ten thousand hours is the magic number of greatness”. Have you reached that magic number? Btw. is the pre-market low working as well as pre-market high for you? ES: my target for friday is 3500.

Hi, I would rather be long then short and more then 30 days to expiry due to accelerating time decay.

Do you dare predict the market aggregate like SPX or similar index ?

Hi, Have you tried deep ITM as well ?

If by this definition order cancellation is considered spoofing, then we are all spoofers unless it's all about the size.

I am waiting for his book to come out: "Trading options" by Destriero.

Many geniuses had boring jobs because it gave them a lot of time to think - Einstein was a patent clerk. Other people have boring jobs to develop their trading strategies.

Therefore it follows that traffickers are in fact international price arbitrageurs. What if the low P/E of WMT remains low and high P/E of COST gets even higher? Why are you expecting reversion to mean P/E?

Hi Tradex When back-testing, do you compare results with a stop and without one? Have you tried automating a rule similar to this ? ...and place a stop order below the last swing low or above the last swing high. I am wondering if % is better then fixed distance/pips to avoid stop hunting.

I am willing to bet a banana that if you put an ape in front of a chart for a reasonable amount of time, he will learn when to press buy and sell buttons to earn his snack.

Sam, cannot you open 3 more accounts with different brokers? It would also decrease your counter-party risk.

Can average Joe participate in an IPO or is it the rich get richer only club?

You should not worry if you place them wide enough to cover the noise but tight enough to protect you from a big loss day. Place them where you think your trading idea has been invalidated. Some people use recent highs or lows, in your case that would be somewhere above the recent high, because...

Is this loss due to not using protective stop? Better safe then sorry. :)

Apparently the actual odds are better at least when it comes to CFD, as per this disclosure on IB website: "64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with IBKR (UK)."

Perhaps the best investment of the 2K would be in education e.g. to learn coding or something else useful to have another source of income rather then burning it in the futures market.