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  1. C

    Time to bottom pick

    I have to use ICE every day as they are THE cash trading platform. I don't really trade their OTC as much as I do NYMEX futures. I do trade their numerous derivatives (basis, swing swaps, Index swaps) quite a bit and NYMEX doesn't offer that so they have a niche.
  2. C

    Time to bottom pick

    The NYMEX is listing new derivatives and rules at such a fast pace now, it is hard to keep up with the rules. I have not searched for the latest. BTW, since you live so close to the exchange, if you would like, I can get you signed on to the floor with my old friends for a floor tour while...
  3. C

    Time to bottom pick

    i just did the .025's, not going to squabble over a half penny when the long run can pay me so much. Not sure anyway that we get down to 7.05, just know that cash will not be that well bid in the morning as the temps for tuesday are not all that cold yet. I hope we do trade down a few...
  4. C

    Time to bottom pick

    Just booked profits at 7.211 Feb natty on my longs from thursday at 6.2976. I am taking my profits and buying March/selling April at March -.03 under for some size. Will Re-establish length tomorrow after cash trading is over as I feel that we may pull back just a little from here. I am...
  5. C

    Time to bottom pick

    As Gene said, this thread is about natural gas. However, if you have traded commodities for any length of time you should know that trends need corrections to maintain a healthy trend and crude is now well oversold and has technically given my work a short-term buy signal. I did get long Feb...
  6. C

    Time to bottom pick

    WOW!!!! If the GFS weather model run I just looked at confirms, we will see some of the coldest temps in the NE that we have seen in this decade or longer. Late Jan/Early Feb runs are absolutely FRIGID! This is an area of widespread cold throughout much of the US with the coldest core being...
  7. C

    Time to bottom pick

    I re-loaded all my length today at avg price of 6.2976. Still like the upside here as the weather forecast I am getting from my private guys is cold for the next few weeks. There are many other parameters of why I am so bullish here but not enough time to write them now. But I am max bullish...
  8. C

    When Can I Short Google??

    I Trade Commodities for a living and loosley follow individual stocks. I am itching like poison ivy to go short google via ATM put options. Anyone trade this stock on a daily basis? And what is your expectations? Thes guys seem extremely vulnerable to me.
  9. C

    Time to bottom pick

    Crude is definately helping to contain natty. However, crude is getting near an area to have at minimal a fibonacci retracement. When crude does have a bounce, it should create good spillover buying in natty. Natty is all noise at the moment with the true breakout # being a few minutes of...
  10. C

    Market conditions turning unfavorable

    Based on my telltale economic indicators, I would agree with the fact that we are on the cusp of at least a larger correction if not an absolute longer term sale. All my signs are pointing to a recession at this moment. Oh how I would love a large gap open higher to sell into.
  11. C

    Fast money word on the street:

    What happened for the first 5 days of 2000??
  12. C

    Time to bottom pick

    Yesterdays selloff was the shorts last stand as many a bear was looking to sell the rally of the last few sessions and had a great catalyst in the hammering of the crude yesterday. HOWEVER, I think that the market makes a large move higher from here now as weather forecasters are now seeing a...
  13. C

    George Bush Iraq speech tonight

    idiotic fratboy has set this country back a decade at the bare minimum.
  14. C

    Time to bottom pick

    i have two big horns protruding from my head.
  15. C

    Groups to watch on continued decline in Oil prices

    My opinion of crude is that it is a very leading economic indicator globally as we are a global village now and are an oil based economy. The continued pressure on crude coupled with the falloff in global freight bookings is a telltale sign that we are heading for a longer period of slow...
  16. C

    Time to bottom pick

    Getting more bullish with each weather model run now to the extent that I feel confident that the 2007 natural gas lows are in. Think we are in a bull market now for the next several weeks at minimum. Have a good weekend.
  17. C

    Time to bottom pick

    Major weather pattern shift coming next week. This pattern is likely to dominate for at least the next month, finally drawing on storage as we will be entering the coldest period of the winter towards the end of the month. Market is flush with short interest looking for an exit on confirmation...
  18. C

    Time to bottom pick

    Natty is now poised to go into a larger short covering rally that could possibly extend for awhile now. I am buying outright longs now in feb in addition to the H/J spreads I am holding. I think feb can get to minimally $7 and possibly much higher.
  19. C

    10 out of 10 market "gurus" say stocks will post gains for a "5th" consecutive y

    What I personally would find fascinating would be if someone could dig up the guru sentiment of the top firms listed this same time (start of Q1) in 2000. The way I remember, it was very similiar.
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