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  1. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Long NQ 1957.75... stop 1956.50 stopped out.... if they wanted to defend the days lows it would have been there.... IMO we break through the lows now... orrrrr is it a giant wedge (on ES)???
  2. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Out 1961.25... quick and easy... could go lower but ya gotta go for the low hanging fruit
  3. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Due for a retrace... short NQ 1965 stop 1966.50... target 1961 or lower
  4. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Covered 1963.00 4:1 R:R right there... thats how I like to do it :D
  5. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Doing the unthinkable here.... long NQ 1955.50... stop 1953.50 Some long overdue divergence on lower timeframes and somewhat of a wedge shape could make for a sharp move up. Target ~1964
  6. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Limit sitting at 1971.75... stop moved up to 67.75 ... out 67.75
  7. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Long NQ 1966.50 stop 1965.25 target ~1971 off 1-min D and 50% retrace
  8. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Lets see if we can get the triple histo D into resistance. 1970-1972 on NQ
  9. T

    roll-up standard deviations

    I'm not sure of your intentions, but I'm guessing you would want to use your aggregate standard deviation from the past X days to trade the current day? Maybe you could mess around with weighting certain days more than others. Depending on how you plan to use it, you could make the more...
  10. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    No worries. I'm sorry if the reasoning for some of my trades isn't clear in my posts. I trade all different timeframes with targets of anywhere from 2 points and up and in both direction no matter where I think the market is headed longer term. I'm going to limit myself to posting trades that...
  11. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Short NQ 1985.50 stop 86.50... hoping this thing will cave into the close stop just moved 85.25... ES just hit 50% major retrace so we could get a viscous bounce worth a shot, out +0 after slippage :edit: If they can hold this area until close, I think we'll see ES drift up during AH...
  12. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I agree, I'd like to see one more low... if we can get it I'll look to buy when ES hits ~54 and NQ hits ~84. :edit: looking doubtful I'll get it... nice entry JSS Will look to enter on 50% retrace
  13. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I had today and tomorrow in mind, although that study suggests the effect is longer lasting. I agree that there is still bullish formation on 120 and 240 but IMO it could finish running its coarse at the 38.2% major retrace on ES ~1375 and 61.8% on NQ ~2010 since the lower timeframes (15-min)...
  14. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Looking to short ~2010 NQ and ~1375 ES areas today if we can get there. I think this bounce is over.... this interesting article supports the TA - http://quantifiableedges.blogspot.com/ . I love this blog.
  15. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I agree that more often than not you see big size (fake) show up on the offer usually right at a swing high to get dumb money short. Then the offer is pulled and you get a mini short covering rally that provides momentum to drive price higher. However this one occurred at a key retracement...
  16. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Anybody else see those 1300 lots offered at the 78.6 (2000) retrace on NQ? Jumped in front of it even though they usually run size just cuz its small stop... Short 1999.50 stop 2000.25... will hold til stopped or sizable move down :edit: Size dissapeared from DOM! Covered 1998.75 for better...
  17. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    15-min NQ chart in particular looking very bearish. One more move up today (ideally into R zone) would be beautiful to take a low risk short with a ~50 point target. :edit: this looks like it could overlap into tomorrow AM.
  18. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    jumping the gun out here at 1998.25 cuz i lack discipline hah... quick and easy, just how I like it..... at least in trading :D Watching 2010-2012 area on NQ and 1375 on ES for a longer timeframe short.
  19. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Short 2002 stop 2003 off 1-min D... target 1996.50
  20. T

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Its always easy to say in hindsight, but I've seen you get stopped like 5 straight times this morning so I gotta suggest something. You gotta get the mean-reversion working for you rather than fighting against it. Try to enter on extremes rather than once a move has started. Unless you can...
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