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    Canadian housing bubble thread

    Here is an interesting article to throw into this. Poloz actually suggestst that a 5% rate rise wouldn't do anything to tame housing speculation. And then there is this quote.. which made me fall off my chair. “Speculation grows, and it’s fueled by actual money, not by credit -- so...
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    Most cost effective way to protect against black swan event?

    Except that the exact opposite thing happened the last 2 times I was watching in real time. Both after Brexit election results, and after the Trump win, the ES hit limit down at -5% and stopped trading for 10-15 mins. Then, when it resumes, major rally!!! Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't want...
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    Canadian housing bubble thread

    I agree, but the only trouble with this is that most jobs are in the cities. If anything, I think more and more people see that in order to have quality of life, they don't want to be commuting all day, and hence are staying in small condos and raising families since they don't want to do the...
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    Canadian housing bubble thread

    I think this whole foreign buyer thing goes like this. So Canada is obviously a country that likes to act all prim and proper. If things were fair, I should be able to go and buy property in China, but the rules state I can't, but its ok if they can come and buy property here. That's one...
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    ES Journal - 2017/2018

    Oh here come the wonderful list of excuses. You may want to refer to this guy who totally faked his trade screenshot and blames his fiance for sabotaging him.. LOL (I see you post in the thread so I'm sure you are aware of it)...
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    ES Journal - 2017/2018

    I never question B1S2's trades. Lots of people jump on him for holding onto losers, or never taking profits when he is nicely in profit and ultimately closes it at a loss, but nobody can say his trade calls aren't transparent. Edit: After seeing B1S2's post, and reading your reply again, you...
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    ES Journal - 2017/2018

    @volpri I wonder if you could comment. I went to the trouble to look back through your calls today and plotted them on the chart along with the time stamps from ET. For your first call at 10:54, you say you went short for a scalp, but no mention of entry or exit. 2nd trade was a short at...
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    "China Is Playing a $9 Trillion Game of Chicken With Savers"

    Can you imagine all the people who have most of their savings in these things because they consider them risk free? When this bubble bursts, I don't see how the government will be able to contain this...
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    Themickey's Journal

    How do we separate surf's outlandish claims from your own? How about this quote above? For such an experienced trader, you're still saying a trade taught you something? What's even worse is that you're saying one trade taught you something. Any seasoned veteran will know one trade doesn't...
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    Surf Report

    Fair enough... I was confused with the couple of charts you sent me in PM. The thing is that I've been around a while, and any time someone starts showing charts with simple patterns drawn, without any entries based on those patterns, I get suspicious. All you're doing right now is saying...
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    Themickey's Journal

    I figure its best to reply to you in your own journal rather than surf's thread. Please explain where the cheap shot is when what I am saying is that your journal doesn't have clear entries and exits marked? You seem to update us down to the last dollar how much you're up, but you cannot...
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    Surf Report

    I have read your journal but I'm not sure what you are trying to show off. There aren't any references to specific trades. (ie. entry at X, stop at Y, profit target at Z, or at the very least an exit posted in real time whenever the position is closed) There is literally nothing to go on if...
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    Surf Report

    With all due respect, nobody on this thread, you included, is showing anything tangible. Your charts don't show entries and exits, put there by the platform, and all the stuff volpri is showing, while nice when he shows an entry or two, is hardly conclusive enough. He talks about huge market...
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    The S&P has topped

    LOL... It could have been as simple as a trendline. If you connect the two highs on the daily from the high at 2400, the high today was pretty much right where the trendline touched.
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    The S&P has topped

    I hate to bring fundamentals into this, but this did after all start after Yellen spoke about unwinding the balance sheet. Its the time when I think news does matter, and whatever the chart was showing before, technically, completely changes. It would be impossible for volente to know what she...
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    Risk mitigation.

    Excellent example. I will spend some time going over this. It wasn't even my original question, and as the OP says, it all seems far too complex right now, but I do enjoy learning as much as I can for use one day.
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    Creating a group of REAL professional traders?

    They don't exist because the trader who can do this is living the good life and certainly wouldn't have a "for profit" room. Sometimes you get lucky by finding fellow traders who match you well, but highly rare. In my experience, its very distracting, and if you're so good that you won't be...
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    Risk mitigation.

    Excellent example. Are you able to go into a bit of detail about the differences between 1 and 2? I imagine that with option 2, there is more margin requirement since you're selling an option, and not buying an option which is fairly cheap. Also, I think I've read that buying puts vs. selling...
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    Risk mitigation.

    If I may offer personal experience here. Using brain power to figure out how to ensure a position works out is a fairy tale. Some positions work, and some don't. Sure, you don't want to be doing something stupid like selling at the low of the day or buying into resistance, but figuring things...
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    Risk mitigation.

    This is an interesting note, thank-you. Yes, I do recall reading that with options, time is a huge factor, and money can also be made if the thing doesn't move but time continues, which clearly it will do. But there are so many factors here now that for the general person, its impossible to do...
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