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  1. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Nice to see eveyone are friends again. After the phase of consistently loosing comes a phase of consistently winning and account growth. Then overconfidence sets in and with it an even greater desire not to loose all those gains, leading to the boom and bust cycle, possibly several times...
  2. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Thats another presumption! At least you didn't call be 'Sir' as I sometimes think that you really mean 'Cur'. Also I have no intention of ignoring you as you are a likeable character and I am sure many will find your comments valuable. Seems like I have out grown this thread so I'll not...
  3. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Generalisations and presumptions aimed at me don't impress.
  4. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Well RN, I can see that you are a true gentleman. As such I would hope that you don't routinely ask anothers to expose themselves in public, there are private places for that, and I don't mean public toilets. I used to post trade details on R****e Traders but the group fizzled out, so I quit...
  5. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    The trend for SLB was down for several days. Today there was a gap down, and rapid fall and then rise back up. I figured that after the fall back to the open price after 2pm a long trade was worth a try. It was working OK for a while but failed at the rapid fall back to the open price and was...
  6. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    For a stock with a daily range of $2 the RR would be low except for the first two cases, and even then for the gain to be significant a large part of the daily range would need to be captured for winning trades. To make that capital really work several stocks would need to be traded each day if...
  7. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    "...the age of the daytrader is over..." Can't agree with that but the article makes sense (or is that shite TO?): http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/body/adler-stocks.html
  8. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    The chart is YUM on 30/09/2011. In the vicinity of either arrow, ignoring the chart to the right of either arrow, some would think a reversal is possibly starting and try a long trade, but others would see a retracement of the downward trend and try a short trade. Its clear which trade would...
  9. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    An index chart looks much like a stock chart in that levels seem to be present. Presumably many stocks display levels occuring at similar times.
  10. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Don't know what to make of this - a different character set perhaps - fiddling about with Internet Explorer encoding didn't reveal anything. Trying an auto translate failed to produce anything too. There are several non-printable ascii codes in the data but having looked at the data with a hex...
  11. M

    Open Letter to Worden Brothers

    Absolutely right. What are the charts displaying anyway? Its the mid price for FreeStockCharts and TC2000, but why not display the offer or the bid, it would make a difference in the way that 'precise' lines would be drawn. If the underlying prices of a 5 min chart were resampled and...
  12. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    We all see different things depending on prior experience. The picture has some contradictions. It is obviously upside down as indicated by the direction of the tie. More significantly I see a man who is hot and uncomfortable with sleeves rolled up, yet at the same time he feels the need to...
  13. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    The way I see it when taking a reverse trade it is necessary to behave consistently when facing uncertainty. In the thread 'If you had a choice to pick a box that would...' the message that seemed to come across was to wait a few bars after a fall had apparently stopped, 3 or maybe 4 if I...
  14. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------- A few obvious lines, and I left some out. Big gap down too.
  15. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Its Yum on 19/09/11
  16. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Anything could happen - rise, fall, chop about. After a rapid rise a fallback maybe expected so I'd try a short trade. I'd like to see a couple more bars rising a bit and then starting to fall again and then enter, with a stop above the peak.
  17. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    By experience.
  18. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    I'm sure that many people know what the obvious is but haven't connected it to the original post. The reason could be that some behaviour and ideas are so instinctive and intuitive that it is hard to articulate them in precise terms. It could also be because some people are incapable of...
  19. M

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    As no one else has done this, here goes:
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