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Usman, The charts for both Pakistan and India look great. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=KSE100:IND http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=SENSEX:IND But I'm interested in a pairs trade. Long India, Short Pakistan. Long fractious stable democracy, short flailing...

Just saw an interview with John Bolton on Fox news saying that the US shares some blame in Bhutto's death by encouraging her to go back to Pakistan. And that perhaps instituting marshal law and delaying elections would be a good idea. He may no longer be part of the Bush administration, but...

Anyone know of a Pakistan ETF or closed end mutual fund? I'm thinking short Pakistan and Long India. Probably a good idea long term anyway, regardless of today's events.

Thunderdog, It's more like if you're standing in a tornado and the wind picks up by 5mph, you're still in a tornado, it's not like the situation worsened that much more. The political situation in Pakistan has been abysmal for 30+ years. It's filled with political assassinations and military...

My point is that this sort of political turmoil is nothing new in Pakistan (just look at the Bhutto family history over the last 3 decades). Being neighbors doesn't really explain why Indian markets should be affected by this news (some cynical South Asians would say her assassination was...

Given that the military dictator is firmly in place, more so since the main political opposition leader is dead and the 2nd main political party leader is not allowed to run for office, and that all the supreme court judges who opposed Musharraf have been removed, there is no real threat to...

Oddly IIF and IFN, which are India specific, are down significantly today. Doesn't make much sense.

Simple ideas can work, but some discretion in which trades to avoid and bet size variation make all the difference. For example, your moving average example can work on many time frames and in many different economic cycles. But drawdowns can be large if you don't use some discretion.

Quite frankly your exit doesn't make sense either. Assuming you didn't risk your entire bankroll, why try to salvage a couple dimes on a long shot bet? If your taking a low prob bet in a volatile stock, might as well let the play go all out.

First off, Pakistan's official connection over the last 15 years is with the Taliban not Al Qaeda. Big difference- Taliban wants Shari law in Afghanistan and tribal areas of Pakistan, while Al Qaeda is much more anti-US. While the 2 mix, it's important to recognize the difference before...

Unfortunately for Pakistan they haven't had a leader who cares a bit about the people in the last few decades. Even the supposed current bastions of hope in Bhutto and N Sharif are mad corrupt and were fairly useless in their times of power. And obviously the military dictators are unpopular...

Does this mean it's time to short Ron Paul?

I quickly looked at SOHU, surprisingly for a China internet company it doesn't move as much as I would expect post earnings historically. I like the short 55 straddle as well.

While the various different ETFs positively correlate with the price of crude, if it's crude oil you want to take advantage of, go for either the mini crude contract or the USO, preferably the former. Even the USO lags the price of crude. And not all oil companies go up as crude rises...

The best advice I received in trading was to look at my positions every day and decide if the current price is one that I would enter at now. If so then continue with the current trade. If not, then adjust or exit. With that said: 1) Why did you enter the short straddles to begin with? Short...

While not exactly a mentoring course, the monthly Virtual Trader program from Redoption/TOS is a cheap ($100/mo) way to learn the basics of trading spreads and short gamma. You basically get to listen in to the traders at TOS and they will trade a few positions in your account and explain the...

Trading the spot after hours is a bit of a hassle. But this could be an interesting scenario to reverse gamma scalp. You gain on the IV implosion overnight, and you aggressively hedge your deltas for that one night only.

Thanks for the example Coach. I would think that if you have a long straddle, then you would ideally want to exit at the peak volatility level, meaning before earnings/event occurs, unless you expect a very large move post-event. Also, realizing that hedging is a large part art and personal...

Interesting that everyone assumes it was islamic militants that tried to assassinate Bhutto. Her father was overthrown in a coup and was killed by the then military dictator. In addition you would assume that the govt of Pakistan would be in charge of security when a former prime minister...

Perhaps by hedging their delta risk with a position in the spot.