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  1. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    $141.90 GLD 191018P139 -$0.96 $24.00 Feeling a bit wonky about this one - not sure if I should have taken it off... probably shouldn't be trading with this damn cold messing my head up. Like trying to think through strawberry jelly. $289.22 COST 191004P275 $2.35 $206.11 STZ 191004P192.5 $2.00...
  2. BlueWaterSailor

    3 JPMorgan traders indicted in alleged gold, silver, platinum and palladium futures pricing scheme

    To put it in Brooklynese, it would be somebody whose balls he's got locked up in the safe. I mean... the dude made a living ripping off Jersey contractors. Whatever you think about him, you have to keep that in mind.
  3. BlueWaterSailor

    Earnings journal

    Argh. Always sucks when a trade rebounds after you've exited the damn thing. Any thoughts on skip-strike flys for earnings? I looked at one on the put side for CBRL yesterday in the few minutes I had, and it looked like lower max profit but zero risk/positive P&L to the upside. (I'm really...
  4. BlueWaterSailor

    Any Options Trading software out there have the Kelly Criterion built in?

    See? Just shows that all those high-falutin', deep-thinky strategies are way, way beyond me.
  5. BlueWaterSailor

    Out-of-whack Credit Suisse security puzzles volatility traders

    Note the "creation/redemption" part of @Robert Morse 's post. It's not a retail function.
  6. BlueWaterSailor

    China Loses Most on Oil Price Jump: WSJ

    Take it from a former military intelligence guy who used to do this kind of evaluations: there's no defense against any type of attack if you have a committed attacker. A country is an infinitely-large attack surface; no matter how much money you spend, there's no way to defend it effectively...
  7. BlueWaterSailor

    Any Options Trading software out there have the Kelly Criterion built in?

    Of course not. Why would they want to tell you about losing trades up front? Brokers make money from you trading, not being cautious - and they have "trading schools" to provide them with an endless stream of suckers, so the quicker you lose your money, the happier you'll make them. Come on...
  8. BlueWaterSailor

    3 JPMorgan traders indicted in alleged gold, silver, platinum and palladium futures pricing scheme

    Nah, that's only for people without money. The worst thing these guys will get is a chair... at a less-prestigious table in the JPM cafeteria for a month. And that's only if they get successfully prosecuted. It's not a crime if you do it; it's only a crime if you get caught. That's not well...
  9. BlueWaterSailor

    3 JPMorgan traders indicted in alleged gold, silver, platinum and palladium futures pricing scheme

    I'll echo @easymon1 's surprise. WTF? You always see that crap in the DOM. What makes these guys different enough to prosecute?
  10. BlueWaterSailor

    BlueWaterSailor: trading journey and journal

    $151.05 ROKU 190927P142 -$3.20 $80.00 Nice; wasn't expecting this to come in quite so soon. So it's not just the lack of exercise; turns out I've picked up a nasty cold somewhere (I'm guessing it was that sweet, friendly park ranger who checked us in - and sneezed on me while doing the...
  11. BlueWaterSailor

    Earnings journal

    Thanks, will do!
  12. BlueWaterSailor

    Earnings journal

    Good-looking skew to the downside! I'm still trying to find some decent combo of a data feed and software (Python financial libs seem to have pretty much been abandoned), so I can't do vol surfaces yet, but this thesis sounds pretty reasonable. I tried getting in, but couldn't get a reasonable...
  13. BlueWaterSailor

    Historical vs Implied spread

    None of your pix came through. Maybe try imgbb.com or something like that?
  14. BlueWaterSailor

    Looking for a desktop screen that folds down flat on a desk

    Oh, hell - if that's all you need... https://awesomestuff365.com/slidenjoy-portable-dual-triple-monitor/
  15. BlueWaterSailor

    Looking for a desktop screen that folds down flat on a desk

    Not an unreasonable assumption, but I'd say that the key factor still remains the same. "Hey babe - I need a good stable working space for my trading, but that also isn't in everybody's way. Do you have any suggestions?" I strongly agree with your idea of converting a small room for that, by...
  16. BlueWaterSailor

    Looking for a desktop screen that folds down flat on a desk

    If your wife hates your work, then she has a serious problem. If you can't negotiate your family disagreements, then your family has a serious problem. These things aren't subject to technical solutions. Handle the actual problems, and there will either be nothing for you to do, or you'll have...
  17. BlueWaterSailor

    Genius idea selling puts on SPX??

    So you don't actually have one single rational thought about it - just your incompetence, anger, fear, and running your mouth when questioned about it. Thanks for playing, and have a nice day.
  18. BlueWaterSailor

    Genius idea selling puts on SPX??

    This is why you have stops to get you out if it goes against you. Again, I'm not arguing against your assertion; I just want to see if there's any reality to it. Last time I sold one of those iron condors I've mentioned, it was $700 against the risk of an equal max loss, as I recall. So far...
  19. BlueWaterSailor

    Genius idea selling puts on SPX??

    Typically a single strike.
  20. BlueWaterSailor

    Where to meet high-IQ traders and investors?

    Much as I hate to reinforce the "brilliant scientist who can't tie his own shoes" meme, this echoes quite a lot of my own experience. I've worked with some scary smart people over the last five years (the best engineers from companies at the top of the heap in Silicon Valley), and real-world...
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