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  1. johnarb

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    Yes, you're correct there will be a large bitcoin upsurge after the halving, see below for what the chart will look like for the next 2 years Do you think bitcoin will hit $1,000,000/btc or $300,000/btc only like this chart?
  2. johnarb

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    It is very fortunate for us that I gave my high-probability conservative prediction My more aggressive price target for the next 2 years is $500,000/btc with only 66.6% probability And $1,000,000/btc price target within 2 years with a low 44.8% probability
  3. johnarb

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    There are only 3 things certain in this life, death, taxes, and bitcoin price going up forever :D My prediction is that bitcoin price will go over $250,000/btc with 99.99% probability within 2 years
  4. johnarb

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    I do not understand why the others are overthinking something that is very simple, 3 green years for bitcoin and 1 red year Blackrock used this well known Bitcoin price pattern on their pitchdeck to investors green-green-green-red hint to everyone: Bitcoin is on the beginning of the 2nd year...
  5. johnarb

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    We're still in a bull market and bitcoin price has not peaked for this cycle My personal guess is that bitcoin will hit $500k by late 2025/early 2026 but I believe $1M is possible
  6. johnarb

    Tether Now Holds Over $5 Billion Worth of Bitcoin to Back USDT (But Should It?)

    Usdt is the best thing since sliced bread! :D I do wonder why there is so much hate from people who don't or have never used it? :finger:
  7. johnarb

    MicroStrategy's infinite money glitch

    Yup, here's Saylor giving a Masterclass on it *clap* *clap* *clap*
  8. johnarb

    Tether Now Holds Over $5 Billion Worth of Bitcoin to Back USDT (But Should It?)

    This is incorrect, Tether prints billions of usdt :D Then they buy billions of $ worth of US Treasuries, already verified by Cantor Fitzgerald and Yellen is very thankful since no one wants to buy US debt no more Keep waiting... that's the best service of Tether to everyone in the world it...
  9. johnarb

    Tether Now Holds Over $5 Billion Worth of Bitcoin to Back USDT (But Should It?)

    Tether will buy more T-Bills, print usdt, pump up bitcoin and cryptos to buy more T-Bills, rinse & repeat Crypto bros love this reflexive loop, muchas gracias!
  10. johnarb

    Samourai Wallet Founders Arrested and Charged With Money Laundering

    There is no business, Samourai wallet is a free and open source non-custodial wallet The people got arrested because they fucked up, tweeting something to the effect that the Russians are welcome to use their wallet,
  11. johnarb

    MicroStrategy's infinite money glitch

    I agree with you... I actually believe this cycle will no longer have a 70% crash, only at most a 30-40% correction which will be recovered within 6 months Too many source of fund inflows to bitcoin now that bitcoin never had before in previous cycles, i.e. bitcoin spot etf's from US and Hong...
  12. johnarb

    Samourai Wallet Founders Arrested and Charged With Money Laundering

    https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/04/24/samourai-wallet-founders-arrested-and-charged-with-money-laundering/ Samourai Wallet Founders Arrested and Charged With Money Laundering Prosecutors are alleging Samourai Wallet laundered over $100 million in criminal proceeds. By Nikhilesh De...
  13. johnarb

    MicroStrategy's infinite money glitch

    Most savings/investments that lose 70% do not recover to the same level or even if it does, would take over 20 years, i.e. Japanese stock market Even if your home is fully paid for, it has maintenance costs, insurance costs, and tax property costs, these costs are liabilities just not in the...
  14. johnarb

    MicroStrategy's infinite money glitch

    You mean there's truth to what the Senator says that we are a bunch of psychopaths??? :D But seriously, after the 3rd bear market, it's no big deal anymore. Actually, during the bear market you see all the crypto bros (companies, teams, projects) are working hard building for the next bull...
  15. johnarb

    MicroStrategy's infinite money glitch

    The irony is that the most difficult time to buy (or hodl and not sell) bitcoin is when the price is low during the bear market The post below was after 1 year of bear market conditioning making everyone believe that bitcoin will never go back up above previous all time high The price was...
  16. johnarb

    MSTR -- To get out or not...

    mstr has billions of $ of profits on their bitcoin holdings, will they be able to start including it on their earnings report next Monday?
  17. johnarb

    MicroStrategy's infinite money glitch

    The on-chain data is clear based on LTH and STH percentages, you can search on these terms and over 77% of hodlers never sell on the top (Druckenmiller quote) Nocoiners are the ones that believe bitcoin is get-rich-quick, all hodlers have been through the joys and pains of holding long term for...
  18. johnarb

    MicroStrategy's infinite money glitch

    For me, Bitcoin is a savings account, a store of value, and during bull market when there are fantastic returns, able to withdraw enough to survive the next bear market cycle
  19. johnarb

    MSTR -- To get out or not...

    Microstrategy in a quiet period now Exciting time for mstr next week (next Monday) earnings release, longs or shorts place your bets Will mstr announce a stock split and/or issuance of more shares to buy more bitcoins? Will mstr announce another debt offering to buy more bitcoins? No...
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