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  1. ph1l

    Modeling Price Swings with Mathematical Functions for Short-Term Trades

    I choose the number of MESA coefficients according to https://sepwww.stanford.edu/data/media/public/docs/sep134/jim2/paper.pdf For example, $ perl -e 'my $numTradingDaysHw7thruHw0 = 100; my $numCoeff = int(2 * $numTradingDaysHw7thruHw0 / log (2 * $numTradingDaysHw7thruHw0)); print...
  2. ph1l

    Modeling Price Swings with Mathematical Functions for Short-Term Trades

    One of the issues with post #15 in this thread is overlap by trades lasting a long time (e.g., more than one year). To make this less of an issue, I tried something roughly similar with the main differences being detrending is always between wave points (not just a straight line) and using...
  3. ph1l

    Name your favorite trading tool, its underlying principle, advantages, disadvantages?

    You show smooth balance curves like but you don't show the equity curve. I wonder why?;)
  4. ph1l

    Kerrisdale Capital "Bitcoin mining sector won't be around in 5 years"

    I might not be an expert on power plants, but I know how to use electricity to easily find out they can be built to not be running at full capacity all the time (load following power plants) or not be running at all sometimes (peaking power plants). The problem with "you pay that miner" is you...
  5. ph1l

    Kerrisdale Capital "Bitcoin mining sector won't be around in 5 years"

    Yes, bitcoin mining is helped by electricity producers in Texas, but it hurts retail electricity consumers because prices are higher for them than they would be without bitcoin mining.
  6. ph1l

    Kerrisdale Capital "Bitcoin mining sector won't be around in 5 years"

    This is not true. https://theweek.com/in-depth/1022698/how-voracious-bitcoin-mining-is-messing-with-texans https://www.wfaa.com/article/news/state/texas-news/power-grid-concerns-texas-lawmakers-change-tune-bitcoin-mining/287-a053e258-9006-45dc-b99e-79ab51a6a94e
  7. ph1l

    JP Morgan senior exec says the Fed is unlikely to cut, will delay beyond mkt expectations

    I'm no expert, but I doubt if a deflationary collapse would really be a good thing.
  8. ph1l

    Misc. corruption, crime, pedo, etc....

    The x.com post has an explanation that they are students wearing uniforms and not conscripts.
  9. ph1l

    Joey Chestnut's hot dog record. In jeopardy?

    I can't say I relish the thought of two consenting men sticking wieners in their mouths and swallowing, but Netflix hit one out of the Ballpark with this. Frankly, it's a bit corny for Kobayashi to come out of retirement so soon, and I'm a bit steamed by his hotdogging which makes him the wurst...
  10. ph1l

    Whether there is a stable trading method or concept that does not require complex trading technical

    The home page in your profile has Must-see note (Instructions à voir absolument)(Debe ver las instrucciones)(必看说明).pdf Why will this time be different?
  11. ph1l

    Russia & Ukraine

    And if you are a Russian physicist, ... https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8001gvp4dpo
  12. ph1l

    Problem with Dell Workstation New Hard Drives wont Upgrade to Windows 11

    ? https://www.securedatarecovery.com/blog/how-does-a-hard-drive-work#:~:text=The%20top%20and%20bottom%20of,are%20about%2075%20nanometers%20wide.
  13. ph1l

    Uruguay

    Those two homes are in Florence, which is across the Tennessee River a few miles north of Tuscumbia.
  14. ph1l

    Joey Chestnut's hot dog record. In jeopardy?

    Say it ain't soy-ee, Joey. https://nypost.com/2024/06/11/business/joey-chestnut-banned-from-2024-nathans-hot-dog-eating-contest/ That's a lot of bread for five days of work!
  15. ph1l

    Climate Change (Patrick Moore ... Greenpeace Co-founder)

    The Maldives growth happened because sand was pumped from the seafloor to a lagoon for creation of an artificial island. https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/148158/preparing-for-rising-seas-in-the-maldives They did that to prepare as sea levels have been rising...
  16. ph1l

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    A few possible answers: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-etf-inflows-price-stagnant-crypto-traders-analysis
  17. ph1l

    I wonder if my trading level is strong in elitetrader.com?

    What an astonishing coincidence -- two traders, on two sides of the Pacific Ocean, with two identical sets of never-losing trades! :rolleyes:
  18. ph1l

    Tesla 2024

    But do you really want to? https://arstechnica.com/cars/2024/05/used-teslas-are-getting-very-cheap-but-buying-one-can-be-risky/
  19. ph1l

    Stupid Spelling - letter C

  20. ph1l

    Elliott wave charts & predictions

    Write more rules. Mastering Elliott Wave: Presenting the Neely Method - The First Scientific Objective Approach to Market Forecasting with the Elliott Wave Theory by Glenn Neely (1990-06-01) Hardcover by Glenn Neely (Author) When those aren't enough, write some more. Mastering Elliott Wave...
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