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Please fight your tendencies to state ANYTHING.

Moving all assets from USPIX back to SOPIX.

All funds to USPIX if NDX closes @ or above 1976, else remain in SOPIX.

Great...a semantic pissing match. Can we move on?

Bumping short exposure up to 100% for Wednesday.

50% of assets to SOPIX (short NDX) for Tuesday's fun.

So, I guess that VIX play didn't work out so well...

WHOA!! STOP THE RIDE!!! I WANNA GET OFF!!!! Continuing to hold CASH on Monday.

Nice call Mike.

Going to CASH for Friday's action.

Trade SOPIX to OTPIX (100% long) @ today's close.

We're baaaaaaaaack!

All USPIX (200% short) funds to SOPIX (100% short) @ today's close.

http://www.mcoscillator.com/Data.html http://finance.yahoo.com/advances

At the time, their model was predicting a 14% drop over the next six months. It's not fair to "pooh-pooh" the prognostication by examining a sliver of the time frame in question. As for identifying a future period in which downside risk is greater than usual, I think they may be on to...

I'm not predicting the future - merely mentioning that out of sample data shows the OP's premise to be less robust than presented.

In another thread originated by Mike: "Therefore the SPX will retreat back to 1150 before moving forward to 1550 once again. This wont happen in 2 years, but in the months to follow and by the end of this year we will be wondering what in the hell happened."...

Mike, I'm going to have to treat this post similarly to how I treated a bullish post in another thread: Over the past six trading days the S&P 500 is down 5.15%. The decline in the six trading days preceding 10/19/87: -10.01%. How many stocks do you think were under their 50 day MA then...

What was once the VIX is now VXO. In the last 2 trading sessions VXO has gone from 18.27 to 25.09, a cumulative rise of about 37.3%. During the 2 trading days preceding 10/19/87, VXO went from 26.36 to 36.37 (+38.0%). Trade as you will.

Chart attached.