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(1) During bull-markets, companies merge (they marry). During bear-markets, companies divest (they divorce). (2) Regarding monopolization, it's better to say that we have oligarchization, a few 900-pound gorillas dominating an industry instead of a single 2000-pounder.

Looking at your BUND chart, it rallied from ~116.85 to ~117.62, the "a" leg. It declined from ~117.62 to ~117.28, the "b" leg. It rallied from ~117.28 to ~118.02, the "c" leg. The geometry holds up pretty well, a~=c and b~=(1/2)a. When the decline stopped on 9/21, volume should be lighter than...

WRONG! You want to be "long" the strangle one week before the announcement. You expect to benefit from increasing volatility(vega), not price movement(delta & gamma). Offset the long position BEFORE the announcement. Then stay flat or get "short" the strangle and then expect to benefit from the...

You want to be long-premium the week before the announcement. You'll want to offset or reverse to being short-premium right before the announcement. Vol rises before and gets "crushed" after the news release. That's the primary course of events.

Similar to what some of the other guys said: (1) trade the most active indices if you're concerned about intraday price spikes in individual stocks. (2) If you insist on trading in a single common stock, reduce your position size down to your own "comfort level". (3) Trade only the most active...

Are you referring to the blue line "support" thingy? If so, it's more commonly known as a "bull flag" or "a-b-c correction". "b" is the magnitude of the congestion range, i.e. "the flag" and "a" is the rally that preceded it, i.e. the "flag pole". In a perfect world, a=c and b=(1/2)a. If you're...

"Reform measures" make for great long-term reversals in the market. Thanks Steve.

Be patient. Buy-out fever can only happen near market tops. You'll want to be long-puts soon enough.

(1) Focus on other companies in the industry sector where the filings appear to be taking place. (2) Use mental telepathy to read the minds of the people at the hedge funds who employ an activist strategy. (3) Wait for the actual filing to be announced and then trade from there. (4) Be on the...

In a "perfect world", the daily extremes take place during the first and last hour of the session. In Market Profile parlance, it's called a "trend day". Another Market Profile item is to look for "long tails" on the intraday chart. The end of the tail is usually a daily extreme.

(1) Jack Haddad has too many "credentials" after his last name. (2) Ideally, only wealthy investors lost money in the fund, not widows & orphans. (3) If the market had gone his way, Brian Hunter would have become regarded as the next Paul Tudor Jones. (It's supposed to be a compliment.) (4) If...

The fund is being closely investigated to be sure that the losses are "real" and not just a deceptive attempt to walk away with the investor's money. Stay tuned.

Karl, you're crazy! Get out of your Palo Alto dorm room and bang some co-eds.

If you want a leading indicator, look at the Fed Funds contracts.

(1) What is the trend of the profitability? Were the best years early in the data sample or more recently? (2) If the best years were recent, trade the system now because it appears to be better-optimized to the present instead of the past. (3) Ultimately, you have to decide when you'll feel...

For what it's worth; profit, loss, edge and time exposure in gambling are defined by the rules of the game(except blackjack & poker). In the market, those four things are variable.

He had better escape. Otherwise, he'll get savaged tomorrow.

It's not a shift out of the stock market. They're merely giving away discretion to outsiders.......WHO "INVEST" IN STOCKS. What do those pension fund idiots think that hedge funds and private equity funds do? If those funds manage the money well, the pension fund guys will be deemed to be...

The numbers for the year 2000 thru 2004 were the simulated results. 2005 was based upon actual trades made with real money.

You seem to be an "excitement junkie". Try to reduce your trading hours a little bit and then get out of the house and spend some of your profits on excitement-inducing activities; i.e. skydiving, bungee jumping, paintball, bull-riding, shark-petting, leopard-petting, interracial dating et al...