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  1. N

    The market is seeing something we dont see yet—

    Thats exactly what I am driving at, and that's why no one can give an example of such a wealth growth. Too much instabilities in the world to allow that: wealth not readily transferable from a declining civilisation to another, declining industry to another (say Kodak to Microsoft)...
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    The market is seeing something we dont see yet—

    But why start at 1 cent? The value of investment property in just the leading economy at that time - the Roman empire - in real term was certainly more than $1million (In fact Caesar's net worth was said to be hundreds times that. So even if 1-tenth was committed to investment and keeps growing...
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    The market is seeing something we dont see yet—

    The same reason there is no investment that has grown 1% per year real compounded since the time of Christ
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    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Up the stairs, down the elevator. So goes the market. Merry Xmas all.
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    Just remember 2008, everything was fine

    haha newbie... Ten short years ago
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    2014: The Battle for Survival

    This market is taking my account down with it - lot of bleeding. Surprised a 2.5% interest rate is taking the market this low: we've obviously been in a massive bubble. Bleak. Buy on dips not working anymore.
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    Anyone know if Maestro is still in the game?

    Yeah, was into cubic splines. Sent me off to explore a world of mathematics I didn't know. Not sure though it is of much trading value.
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    Bitcoin Price Thread

    Agree it takes time to digest 2017 run-up. But the correct advice is not to be patient, but to cut and run while you are ahead (or have anything left) - we know what happened to paper millionaires in the dotcom bubble on "concept" stocks like pets.com, even better known names with credible...
  9. N

    Where are the bodies?

    Exactly - its nigh impossible to prove
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    Where are the bodies?

    You can benefit from insider information without really running foul of the law. If you were planning on investing in the company, and you learned from your contact of the dire strait - you turn away. No illegality here, but you benefitted.
  11. N

    China burns crosses, bulldozes churches in latest religious crackdown

    I think you are entitled to your view - but from what I read the recidivism rate for those who "change" in prison is lower: that is a plus I believe.
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    China burns crosses, bulldozes churches in latest religious crackdown

    I thought that would be a compliment on Christianity - if they are driven there and got "changed" in prison.
  13. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Yes, I coded my system to reject doubling down - except for one strategy. That has been the best performing one, accounting for all my gains this year (out of a dozen). Now with this, I am forced to further tighten rules even for this strategy. Without the doubling, no doubt perfomance would...
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    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Period Update 06/30/2018 - 09/30/2018 ---------- Terrible 3 months, down 27K (12.4%). For the year, up 33K (19%) Was having a moderately positive quarter, but late August and September dealt a blow to my effort. Did compound the problem with some doubling down trades. Not what I expected, but...
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    2014: The Battle for Survival

    I get lazy after a bad quarter. Nevermind, will do so shortly. I trade TSLA just like any other mobile stock. Did lose a ton on TSLA options - not today or last week though - and mostly thru doubling down.
  16. N

    New NAFTA without Canada?

    Trump putting himself in other people's shoes? Wishful thinking. He lacks that ability.
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    The First Anti-Aging Drug is Coming

    See the population growth in the world over the past few centuries. I can't imagine what it would mean if people (including the third world where the growth is) started living 400 years. From my trading experience, I already think we are in a massive bubble. Somehow things will have to...
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    Super long expiration leaps

    Ok I apologise then.
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    Super long expiration leaps

    I guess he means having expiration for a certain expiration frequency 10 periods out. Like having AAPL weeklies for 10 successive weeks trading, or 10 successive months. The most I see for weeklies in AAPL is seven weeks, and about the same for the monthlies. Other stocks are much less. I could...
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    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Period Update 03/31/2018 - 06/30/2018 ---------- Negative three months, down 13.5K(6%). Lots of toiling without any break-through. Suffered the first month with some serious losses after raising my leverage on options. Had to scale back, pared back the losses, but nothing remarkable...
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