Search results

  1. N

    Paul Tudor Jones II Lists Florida Mansion

    I prefer one built to my specs :)
  2. N

    209 puts ask less than intrinsic why?

    yes, it counts for SPY right up to 4:15 PM ET
  3. N

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    1% drop and its Armageddon - with high chance of going away in 5 years!!! Hope you don't bet in the market this way - you are far more likely to be out of business yourself
  4. N

    Losing Trades Archive

    What function represents your involuted chart?
  5. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    How close to the mid? From my experience, in the example I gave, yes I could get a fill at 8.50, but almost certainly not at 8.00 (unless the market has meanwhile moved against me). And of course I want fast execution (not let it sit there and let the situation change).
  6. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Every draw-down is emotionally draining, but that is the nature of the work. One thing I have been looking at with this last months loss is how much I have been "paying to play" options. My findings are even more troubling. Basically the costs in question are from two sources 1) bid-ask spread...
  7. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Actually the swing started from November. I had a 75% month in October. Since then it has been turbulent as seen from this chart (starting with the 331K starting balance for November - I have withdrawn some money since then of course)
  8. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Period Update for March (2/28/2015 - 4/3/2015) (5 weeks) Terrible month, down 70K (17.6%). Another terrible show for OPN-FCR (down 88K for the month), one of the two best-performing of last year. Not sure whether part of it had to do with trying to recoup the losses on that strategy last...
  9. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Shakespeare said “A coward dies a thousand times before his death, but the valiant taste of death but once". The fear of a black swan is overblown. I do not stake 100% of my account in an OTM weekly option (something that can lose 99% in a flash). Even with stocks, when I take a position with...
  10. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Period Update for February 1/31/2015 - 2/28/2015 (4 weeks) Another good month, up 99.8K (33%). Delighted to have another great month, although I didn't like some of the trading done. First two weeks was stellar, could almost do nothing wrong, then the third week (shortened trading week)...
  11. N

    IB pays $600k settlement for poor auto-liquidation

    Wow! that's news to know they can be held liable for how they auto-liquidate. Maybe they can be liable also for arbitrary changes in margin requirement leading to auto-liquidation.
  12. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Markets at new high once again. Not even two months (Dec 29 - Feb 12 for SPY). Still waiting for 2 months of no new highs. Account performance outstanding nonetheless.
  13. N

    Are you a successful at home day trader with no other source of income who began with modest means?

    You absolutely nailed it there. I have always marveled at people who claim to be making a living from trading, but have stuck to say a trading balance of 50K, and are happy to make 50K a year for a decade. To me, if you have an edge to make 100% (on starting balance) each year for ten years, it...
  14. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Period Update for January 1/3/2015 - 1/31/2015 (4 weeks) Great start to the new year, up 49.5K (19%). It was a roller-coaster month, first down near -30K, then got as high as +64K, then this week almost gave back the gains, but then rebounded to close +49K. I certainly took too many trades...
  15. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Not starting a new journal for 2015, will just keep the monthly updates here. From your analysis (and like I know very well), there is no smooth sailing even here - it is still a battle. I hope obeying restrictions on my trades will make it a smoother ride.
  16. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    From your definition that would be 1.65 from the monthly figures earlier posted. Not sure whether this is good or bad.
  17. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    For 2015, I have set percentage targets for the strategies as follows. I have also renamed the strategies with better initials for me to correlate. (0.10 means 10%) Strategy 2015 Targ Former Name STK-FCS 0.30 stock4 OPN-FCR 0.22 option4 OPN-OPM 0.15 option2 STK-ATM...
  18. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    There is a mix-up in the calculation above. Just re-did it and the net percentages should be as follows stock4 0.667 option4 0.522 option2 0.207 stock5 0.121 option1 0.016 stock2 0.004 stock1 -0.111 stock3 -0.196 1.231
  19. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Now time to review the performance of my strategies over the last year. The earlier chart shows the absolute ($) returns of the strategies. On the basis of that you think option4 was the best strategy, and that option1, stock1,stock2,stock3 were all losing strategies. However, I go back to...
  20. N

    2014: The Battle for Survival

    Attached is the performance by strategies and by months. As depicted, stock4 accounts for all the loss in December. I am not too puzzled, because, apart from the blunder, it is not way out of expectation, like I will explain later when I present the 'Net Percentage' criterion for measuring...
Back
Top