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    Cheapest source for EOD data (Stocks & Futures)

    Eoddata has nightly download data with prices ranging from $0 to $29.95 per month (cheaper if you pay for a whole year at once). You need the $24.95 plan to get EOD futures data. They just upgraded their servers so downloads are now fast. All US futures are one .csv format file. I pay the...
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    Valuable IV Rank thinkscript for TOS

    I actually think the IV percentage rank for a particular company is quite a good indicator. Although one needs to also look at absolute volatility compared to the market (or just absolute to make enough per trade). Tasty Trade (Sosnoff) advocates a system that mostly makes money from time...
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    GOOG - Earnings this Thursday - Buy OTM weekly calls on Thursday

    I must be a heretic in not believing the "truth" of markets because "the" market seems to have correctly predicted NFLX earnings share price movement (355 close with 45 point Oct. 25 straddle so selling the earning straddle made money) but was totally wrong on the GOOG straddle share price...
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    NFLX Earnings.

    After hours today Oct. 21, NFLX share price is 391.30 which is under the 355 today close Oct. 25 straddle price MOC market expected movement of 45.16. So far except for the GOOG huge blow out, straddle spread price going into earnings have over estimated actual share price movement. I...
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    GOOG - Earnings this Thursday - Buy OTM weekly calls on Thursday

    Buying calls into earnings seems not to work because the ATM Straddles going into earnings are almost always over priced compared to actual price movement after earings going into earnings. I think IBM's earning today is an exception, but buy calls would not have worked. There are...
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    Selling out of the money puts with low risk

    I have recently been selling more short puts and short calls. I think most of the arguments on this thread are wrong such as jimmyjazz: "The black swan pays every investor a visit when she decides to show up." The best way to deal with "imagined" black swan visits is to always buy...
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    Trying shorting beans with ratio bear call spreads

    I think today's November Soybean future rise is overdone. I have been selling 30 cent 3 to 2 short bean future options spreads at various levels above the market. I think this type spread can be changed quite easily if I am wrong. I am for now effectively short some naked futures but I...
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    Think Fading Seeking Alpha "hit pieces" will work

    I have not had many good ideas recently, but I now think that buying stocks that are criticized with seeking alpha articles will work. Their is no editorial control so the SA articles tend to be slightly low on reality contact. Purchase of HK (Halcon fast growing E&P) after secondary...
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    Michael Lewis Article on Goldman and Serge Aleynikov

    To get this thread back on track. I think there is more to the Aleynikov story than people know, and I do not think that Lewis understands what is going on either. I ran into this fast trading hardware PR...
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    Salesforce (CRM) butterfly idea

    You are looking for a mechanical edge from a mis-priced option according to the option pricing formulas (really just conventions), but since everyone has access to option pricing programs, it is unlikely purely mathematical (formal) edges exist. For me the edge is in the fundmentals and I...
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    Salesforce (CRM) butterfly idea

    I think the CRM July 19 expiration (monthly) 41P/38P/35P butterfly is undervalued. My entry cost was 1.23 for a 3 point fly. My CRM fly trades have all worked except the trade was much better before the 4 for 1 stock split. The 38 fly is cheap because CRM stock is at 38 with seemingly 3...
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    How to model the future price of OTM options?

    Hey Mitch89 if you are going to pump a program at least port it to Linux (Java). I really do not want to deal with another broker (Ameritrade/TOS) but at least TOS works with java on my Linux system. I do not want to deal with Excel macro packages because I run libreoffice and even worse...
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    What is most VC money spent on within tech startups?

    There is a strange pattern in start ups. Namely, they are born grown up. This is just my anecdotal observation, but once a startup gets VC money they immediately hire a CFO and finance department (to control the founders?), A human resources department (to kill off scientific progress)...
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    Option Spreadsheet Request

    Optionstar does not work with new Microsoft Excel 2013 (some new macro protection changes or something) and Optionstar is not being maintained and they do not answer their technical question email. I could not figure out how to order an older version of Excel which I would prefer anyway.
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    atticus' single-name delta book

    I am not sure if this is the right place to post option ideas. If not, tell me where to post. I did not find any butterflies I like this week. Gold futures May 1450/1400/1350 that expires next Thursday is working, but it touched the mid point too early. I think IV's can easily go up in...
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    EXAS April options mis-priced

    Interesting market reaction to EXAS study. Market reaction is negative on interpretation not data. Namely, only 42% versus 57% result, as found by previous study, detetection of pre-cancer polyps up to 1 cm. 2cm targeted 67% sensitivity (ability to find) was reached. EXAS President was...
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    EXAS April options mis-priced

    EXAS just announced they wil announce "preliminary top line results of its DeeP-C pivotal clinical trial" Thursday monring at 7:30AM ET. Here is a URL to the story: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/exact-sciences-schedules-announcement-call-224500983.html Share price is up to 10.99 after...
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    Getting Optionstar to run on Excel 2013

    I need to be able to look more at option spread graphs. Optionstar has IB data feed which I want to use. I am used to using Openoffice calc but it does not have Excel style data import. I am having trouble using Excel 2013 which I think is much different from Excel 2010. When I try to...
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    atticus' single-name delta book

    Thanks, I am not used to trading futures. I just realized the May Gold futures contract expires April 25 unlike the April 26 GLD options. I think the GC 1450/1400/1350 put butterfly has more volume. Isn't that good? The GLD 140/135/130 butterfly has less volume, but by next week I think...
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    atticus' single-name delta book

    Why did you choose the May 28 expiration 1450/1400/1350 put butterfly versus the April 25? Isn't the idea to profit from the expected dead cat bounce? Also, why GCM3 options versus GLD. To save commissions?
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