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lol typical of u day traders, never look at teh big picture. no worries talk to me by the end of this qrtr and ull be OWNED!!!!!!!!!!!!!

yes but the problem with this is that my system predicts that the movemetns when they occur will start and end very violent and very quickly, i dont believe that itll be a 3 or 4 day affair, itll be more like a 1 day romp down the charts. With the current edginess in the world markets its...

oh trust me oil is going to go up. and i have only one word to justify my intermediate term view: Ghawar

Well since i live in Aus: Trader 2 has a beautiful advantage: he creates much more brokerage which in aus is tax deductible.

yes but with the huge falls in commodity prices across the board The long term correlations between the base metals are being violated. Essentially im expecting those correlations to return their long term levels once the big suppliers begin to ramp up producation oh adn i msut add again...

Short SPX Short NASDAQ Short Nikkei Short SPI Short Copper Short Nickel Short CAC Short US/GBP Long Oil My god i hope it crashes liek a "BITCH!!!!!" or else i will be saying goodbye to my shirt.

yeah it worked decently well enough for both shorts and longs. The one thing that was extremely important to identify when tradign that kind of strategy is whether the market is trending or ranging. That strat would cane in a ranging market as the prices moved above/below the 5 day movign...

whatever happens PLLLLEEEEAASSSSSSEEEEEEEEEEE dont let michael jackson ring that damn bell ever again!

interesting, i used to trade a mean reversion strategy on the SFE SPI200. I would take the difference between opening prices and the 5 day moving average and then draw a histogram of them. Central limit Theorem applies and the output is approximately normal. I would go contrarian at 3...

CLINTON! CLINTON!!! CLINTON!!!!! CLITON!!!!!!!!!!!!! damn he was teh best prez u yanks ever had. Bush would have killed to have the ability to talk like that to a newsreader instead of just reading out a line of quotes prepared by his aides. GO CLINTON!!!!!!!!!!!

just made new system, have paid someone else to backtest it. There are some worrying problems i would appreciate your comments on 1) tremendous deviations in annulized sharp ratios. Top sharp ratio of 5 lowest of 0.2, average 2. 2) tremendous deviations in annualized profit factors...

:P i predict that my prediction will be wrong.

2 hands advantage over breakeven

The study concluded that no more than 250 of the more than 8,000 individual hedge funds – deliver performance in line with their higher fees. hmm i bet half of them r closed off to new equity applications. The truth is that the real big and successful HF: Medallion, Tudor, Caxton etc pretty...

contango situations still exist and there probably the last true risk free profits avaliable out there

dude $500 save your money. let me put it this way: Assume your expectancy in blackjack normally is 0.48. and you want to play it successfully. Imagine you begin to card count so that you turn your expectancy to 0.52. I.e you have a winnign edge. Now just because you have a mathematical...

i have always belieeved that trading is more like blackjack than poker. Kind of like finding a long term statistical edge which u can mechanically exploit.

any1 else know of a prop firm in aus that is actually trading?

markets are random except for a tiny weeny bit of serial correlation otherwise known as TREND!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

arrggh my backtesting bitch has moved to america with his new wife :'( ive been begging him not to go but hes gone and so has his fund :( U know practically thru my entire trading life ive never actually had to program in BASIC any trading strategy, i simply got him to do it for me. now that...